Migration in Vargem Grande do Sul/SP (2017–2022)

Vargem Grande do Sul/SP had a reference population (aged 5 or over in 2022) of 37,810 people. In the 2017–2022 five-year period, the municipality received 1,520 in-migrants and lost 2,370 out-migrants to other municipalities in Brazil, resulting in a net migration of −850 people (−22.47 per 1,000 population) and a migration effectiveness index (IEM) of −0.218. This classifies the municipality, for the period, as one of migratory depletion. In addition, 25 arrived with an unreported origin and 0 came from abroad.

Indicators

Migration indicators for Vargem Grande do Sul/SP, 2017–2022
Indicator	Estimate	95% CI	Precision
In-migrants	1,520	1,176 to 1,864	good
Out-migrants	2,370	1,886 to 2,854	good
Net migration	−850	−1,444 to −256	not classified
Net migration rate, TLM (per 1,000 pop.)	−22.47	-	-
Migration effectiveness index (IEM)	−0.218	-	-

Sample of in-migrants: 100-499 observations. Sample of out-migrants: 100-499 observations. 95% confidence interval computed as estimate ± 1.96 × standard error.

Top origins and destinations

Top 10 origins of in-migrants to Vargem Grande do Sul/SP
Origin	People	Precision
São João da Boa Vista/SP · view pair in the atlas	190	low precision
São Paulo/SP · view pair in the atlas	180	low precision
São Sebastião da Grama/SP · view pair in the atlas	130	low precision
Casa Branca/SP · view pair in the atlas	95	low precision
São José do Rio Pardo/SP · view pair in the atlas	80	low precision
Mococa/SP · view pair in the atlas	60	low precision
Poços de Caldas/MG · view pair in the atlas	45	low precision
Espírito Santo do Pinhal/SP · view pair in the atlas	45	low precision

Top 10 destinations of out-migrants from Vargem Grande do Sul/SP
Destination	People	Precision
São João da Boa Vista/SP · view pair in the atlas	355	use with caution
Casa Branca/SP · view pair in the atlas	220	low precision
São Sebastião da Grama/SP · view pair in the atlas	90	low precision
Itobi/SP · view pair in the atlas	90	use with caution
Mococa/SP · view pair in the atlas	70	low precision
Poços de Caldas/MG · view pair in the atlas	65	low precision
Divinolândia/SP · view pair in the atlas	40	low precision
Águas da Prata/SP · view pair in the atlas	30	low precision
Marapoama/SP · view pair in the atlas	25	low precision

Profile of migrants and residents

In-migrants (arrivals)

Migrant type
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
First move from municipality of birth	665	43.6%	50-99
Multi-step migration	625	41.0%	50-99
Return to municipality of birth	225	14.8%	20-49
Other / suppressed	10	0.7%	<5

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	455	41.4%	20-49
No schooling or incomplete elementary	375	34.1%	20-49
Completed higher education	160	14.5%	5-19
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	110	10.0%	5-19

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
1 to 2 minimum wages	590	38.7%	50-99
¼ to ½ minimum wage	360	23.6%	20-49
½ to 1 minimum wage	285	18.7%	20-49
More than 2 minimum wages	220	14.4%	20-49
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	40	2.6%	5-19
Other / suppressed	30	2.0%	<5

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 25–39, male	310	20.4%	20-49
Ages 25–39, female	215	14.1%	20-49
Ages 40–59, male	190	12.5%	5-19
Ages 40–59, female	175	11.5%	5-19
Ages 15–24, male	140	9.2%	5-19
Ages 60 and over, female	110	7.2%	5-19
Ages 5–14, male	105	6.9%	5-19
Ages 15–24, female	105	6.9%	5-19
Ages 60 and over, male	95	6.2%	5-19
Ages 5–14, female	75	4.9%	5-19

Out-migrants (departures)

Migrant type
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
First move from municipality of birth	1,055	44.5%	100-499
Multi-step migration	955	40.3%	100-499
Return to municipality of birth	360	15.2%	20-49

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	550	37.2%	50-99
No schooling or incomplete elementary	405	27.4%	50-99
Completed higher education	295	19.9%	20-49
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	230	15.5%	20-49

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
½ to 1 minimum wage	835	35.3%	100-499
1 to 2 minimum wages	560	23.7%	50-99
More than 2 minimum wages	385	16.3%	20-49
¼ to ½ minimum wage	295	12.5%	50-99
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	220	9.3%	20-49
Not applicable (collective dwelling)	70	3.0%	5-19

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 25–39, female	420	17.7%	20-49
Ages 25–39, male	415	17.5%	20-49
Ages 40–59, male	295	12.4%	20-49
Ages 5–14, female	245	10.3%	20-49
Ages 15–24, female	235	9.9%	20-49
Ages 5–14, male	215	9.1%	20-49
Ages 15–24, male	190	8.0%	20-49
Ages 40–59, female	185	7.8%	20-49
Ages 60 and over, male	125	5.3%	5-19
Ages 60 and over, female	45	1.9%	5-19

Non-migrant residents

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
No schooling or incomplete elementary	13,435	51.1%	>=500
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	6,195	23.5%	>=500
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	3,705	14.1%	100-499
Completed higher education	2,980	11.3%	100-499

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
½ to 1 minimum wage	11,540	29.9%	>=500
1 to 2 minimum wages	11,175	29.0%	>=500
¼ to ½ minimum wage	7,050	18.3%	>=500
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	4,620	12.0%	100-499
More than 2 minimum wages	4,120	10.7%	100-499
Not applicable (collective dwelling)	70	0.2%	5-19

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 40–59, female	5,510	15.2%	>=500
Ages 40–59, male	5,170	14.3%	100-499
Ages 25–39, female	4,235	11.7%	100-499
Ages 25–39, male	4,080	11.3%	100-499
Ages 60 and over, female	3,970	10.9%	100-499
Ages 60 and over, male	3,350	9.2%	100-499
Ages 15–24, male	2,670	7.4%	100-499
Ages 15–24, female	2,585	7.1%	100-499
Ages 5–14, male	2,420	6.7%	100-499
Ages 5–14, female	2,275	6.3%	100-499

Commuting (work and study)

Commuting indicators for Vargem Grande do Sul/SP
Employed persons (aged 10 and over)	17,840
Commute out to work in another municipality	2,130
Commute in from another municipality to work here	895
Net commuting	−1,230
Out-commuting rate (%)	11.93
Commuting attraction index	0.910
Median commuting time	40 min

Open Vargem Grande do Sul/SP in the interactive atlas →

Methodological note

Estimates from the sample microdata of the 2022 Demographic Census (IBGE, controlled access), fixed-date migration question (residence on July 31, 2017 compared with residence on July 31, 2022). Every estimate is rounded to multiples of 5 and has passed statistical disclosure control (no cell with fewer than 5 people or 3 sampled households). See the full methodology and the glossary.

How to cite this page

Daniel Pessini Sobreira. Atlas da migração interna no Brasil [Atlas of internal migration in Brazil]: Vargem Grande do Sul/SP. Data from the 2022 Demographic Census (IBGE). Data version: 2026-10-01. Available at: https://atlas-da-migracao.github.io/en/municipio/vargem-grande-do-sul-sp-3556404/. Dataset DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22469791.