Migration in Guaraí/TO (2017–2022)

Guaraí/TO had a reference population (aged 5 or over in 2022) of 23,105 people. In the 2017–2022 five-year period, the municipality received 2,505 in-migrants and lost 2,440 out-migrants to other municipalities in Brazil, resulting in a net migration of +65 people (2.90 per 1,000 population) and a migration effectiveness index (IEM) of 0.013. This classifies the municipality, for the period, as one of migratory attraction. In addition, 20 arrived with an unreported origin and 10 came from abroad.

Indicators

Migration indicators for Guaraí/TO, 2017–2022
Indicator	Estimate	95% CI	Precision
In-migrants	2,505	1,957 to 3,053	good
Out-migrants	2,440	1,930 to 2,950	good
Net migration	+65	−684 to 814	not classified
Net migration rate, TLM (per 1,000 pop.)	2.90	-	-
Migration effectiveness index (IEM)	0.013	-	-

Sample of in-migrants: 100-499 observations. Sample of out-migrants: 100-499 observations. 95% confidence interval computed as estimate ± 1.96 × standard error.

Top origins and destinations

Top 10 origins of in-migrants to Guaraí/TO
Origin	People	Precision
Pedro Afonso/TO · view pair in the atlas	230	low precision
Palmas/TO · view pair in the atlas	200	use with caution
Araguaína/TO · view pair in the atlas	115	low precision
Presidente Kennedy/TO · view pair in the atlas	105	low precision
Goiânia/GO · view pair in the atlas	85	low precision
Colméia/TO · view pair in the atlas	85	low precision
Itacajá/TO · view pair in the atlas	85	low precision
Itaporã do Tocantins/TO · view pair in the atlas	85	low precision
Bom Jesus do Tocantins/TO · view pair in the atlas	70	low precision
Colinas do Tocantins/TO · view pair in the atlas	65	low precision

Top 10 destinations of out-migrants from Guaraí/TO
Destination	People	Precision
Palmas/TO · view pair in the atlas	510	low precision
Colméia/TO · view pair in the atlas	130	low precision
Tabocão/TO · view pair in the atlas	125	use with caution
Porto Nacional/TO · view pair in the atlas	80	low precision
Paraíso do Tocantins/TO · view pair in the atlas	80	low precision
Araguaína/TO · view pair in the atlas	75	low precision
Goianorte/TO · view pair in the atlas	70	low precision
Tupirama/TO · view pair in the atlas	50	use with caution
Tupiratins/TO · view pair in the atlas	45	low precision
Pedro Afonso/TO · view pair in the atlas	40	low precision

Profile of migrants and residents

In-migrants (arrivals)

Migrant type
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
First move from municipality of birth	1,105	44.1%	100-499
Multi-step migration	1,075	42.9%	50-99
Return to municipality of birth	325	13.0%	20-49

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	490	32.3%	20-49
No schooling or incomplete elementary	460	30.4%	20-49
Completed higher education	360	23.8%	20-49
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	205	13.5%	5-19

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
½ to 1 minimum wage	985	39.3%	50-99
¼ to ½ minimum wage	520	20.8%	50-99
More than 2 minimum wages	410	16.4%	20-49
1 to 2 minimum wages	310	12.4%	20-49
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	200	8.0%	20-49
Not applicable (collective dwelling)	80	3.2%	5-19

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 25–39, male	480	19.2%	20-49
Ages 25–39, female	410	16.4%	20-49
Ages 15–24, male	260	10.4%	20-49
Ages 5–14, male	260	10.4%	20-49
Ages 40–59, male	255	10.2%	20-49
Ages 15–24, female	255	10.2%	20-49
Ages 40–59, female	220	8.8%	20-49
Ages 5–14, female	210	8.4%	20-49
Ages 60 and over, female	110	4.4%	5-19
Other / suppressed	40	1.6%	<5

Out-migrants (departures)

Migrant type
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
First move from municipality of birth	1,180	48.5%	100-499
Multi-step migration	960	39.4%	100-499
Return to municipality of birth	280	11.5%	50-99
Other / suppressed	15	0.6%	<5

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	410	29.4%	50-99
No schooling or incomplete elementary	365	26.2%	50-99
Completed higher education	345	24.7%	20-49
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	275	19.7%	20-49

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
½ to 1 minimum wage	630	25.9%	100-499
1 to 2 minimum wages	595	24.4%	50-99
More than 2 minimum wages	535	22.0%	50-99
¼ to ½ minimum wage	395	16.2%	50-99
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	265	10.9%	50-99
Other / suppressed	15	0.6%	<5

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 25–39, male	390	16.0%	50-99
Ages 25–39, female	325	13.3%	50-99
Ages 40–59, male	300	12.3%	20-49
Ages 15–24, male	290	11.9%	20-49
Ages 15–24, female	285	11.7%	50-99
Ages 40–59, female	250	10.3%	20-49
Ages 5–14, male	240	9.9%	20-49
Ages 5–14, female	230	9.4%	20-49
Ages 60 and over, female	70	2.9%	5-19
Ages 60 and over, male	55	2.3%	5-19

Non-migrant residents

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
No schooling or incomplete elementary	5,380	38.2%	>=500
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	4,430	31.5%	100-499
Completed higher education	2,395	17.0%	100-499
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	1,865	13.3%	100-499

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
½ to 1 minimum wage	7,015	31.5%	>=500
¼ to ½ minimum wage	5,995	27.0%	>=500
1 to 2 minimum wages	4,460	20.1%	100-499
More than 2 minimum wages	3,025	13.6%	100-499
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	1,715	7.7%	100-499
Other / suppressed	30	0.1%	<5

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 40–59, female	3,115	15.1%	100-499
Ages 40–59, male	2,935	14.3%	100-499
Ages 25–39, female	2,390	11.6%	100-499
Ages 25–39, male	2,305	11.2%	100-499
Ages 15–24, male	1,765	8.6%	100-499
Ages 15–24, female	1,690	8.2%	100-499
Ages 60 and over, female	1,665	8.1%	100-499
Ages 60 and over, male	1,655	8.0%	100-499
Ages 5–14, male	1,540	7.5%	100-499
Ages 5–14, female	1,510	7.3%	100-499

Commuting (work and study)

Commuting indicators for Guaraí/TO
Employed persons (aged 10 and over)	11,525
Commute out to work in another municipality	515
Commute in from another municipality to work here	260
Net commuting	−255
Out-commuting rate (%)	4.45
Commuting attraction index	0.960
Median commuting time	60 min

Open Guaraí/TO in the interactive atlas →

Methodological note

Estimates from the sample microdata of the 2022 Demographic Census (IBGE, controlled access), fixed-date migration question (residence on July 31, 2017 compared with residence on July 31, 2022). Every estimate is rounded to multiples of 5 and has passed statistical disclosure control (no cell with fewer than 5 people or 3 sampled households). See the full methodology and the glossary.

How to cite this page

Daniel Pessini Sobreira. Atlas da migração interna no Brasil [Atlas of internal migration in Brazil]: Guaraí/TO. Data from the 2022 Demographic Census (IBGE). Data version: 2026-10-01. Available at: https://atlas-da-migracao.github.io/en/municipio/guarai-to-1709302/. Dataset DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22469791.