Migration in Ubatuba/SP (2017–2022)

Ubatuba/SP had a reference population (aged 5 or over in 2022) of 87,235 people. In the 2017–2022 five-year period, the municipality received 9,600 in-migrants and lost 5,180 out-migrants to other municipalities in Brazil, resulting in a net migration of +4,420 people (50.67 per 1,000 population) and a migration effectiveness index (IEM) of 0.299. This classifies the municipality, for the period, as one of migratory attraction. In addition, 165 arrived with an unreported origin and 220 came from abroad.

Indicators

Migration indicators for Ubatuba/SP, 2017–2022
Indicator	Estimate	95% CI	Precision
In-migrants	9,600	8,656 to 10,544	good
Out-migrants	5,180	4,428 to 5,932	good
Net migration	+4,420	3,213 to 5,627	not classified
Net migration rate, TLM (per 1,000 pop.)	50.67	-	-
Migration effectiveness index (IEM)	0.299	-	-

Sample of in-migrants: >=500 observations. Sample of out-migrants: >=500 observations. 95% confidence interval computed as estimate ± 1.96 × standard error.

Top origins and destinations

Top 10 origins of in-migrants to Ubatuba/SP
Origin	People	Precision
São Paulo/SP · view pair in the atlas	2,540	good
São José dos Campos/SP · view pair in the atlas	515	use with caution
Taubaté/SP · view pair in the atlas	500	use with caution
Ladainha/MG · view pair in the atlas	225	use with caution
Caraguatatuba/SP · view pair in the atlas	200	low precision
Guarulhos/SP · view pair in the atlas	195	low precision
Pindamonhangaba/SP · view pair in the atlas	190	low precision
Rio de Janeiro/RJ · view pair in the atlas	175	low precision
Santo André/SP · view pair in the atlas	150	low precision
Belo Horizonte/MG · view pair in the atlas	145	low precision

Top 10 destinations of out-migrants from Ubatuba/SP
Destination	People	Precision
Taubaté/SP · view pair in the atlas	410	use with caution
São Paulo/SP · view pair in the atlas	380	low precision
Caraguatatuba/SP · view pair in the atlas	285	use with caution
São José dos Campos/SP · view pair in the atlas	235	low precision
Florianópolis/SC · view pair in the atlas	225	low precision
Paraty/RJ · view pair in the atlas	195	low precision
São Luiz do Paraitinga/SP · view pair in the atlas	150	use with caution
Guaratinguetá/SP · view pair in the atlas	135	low precision
Pindamonhangaba/SP · view pair in the atlas	115	low precision
Tremembé/SP · view pair in the atlas	105	low precision

Profile of migrants and residents

In-migrants (arrivals)

Migrant type
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
First move from municipality of birth	5,235	54.5%	>=500
Multi-step migration	3,815	39.7%	100-499
Return to municipality of birth	485	5.0%	50-99
Born abroad, internal migrant	70	0.7%	5-19

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Completed higher education	2,690	38.7%	100-499
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	2,565	36.9%	100-499
No schooling or incomplete elementary	1,125	16.2%	100-499
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	570	8.2%	50-99

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
1 to 2 minimum wages	2,985	31.1%	100-499
More than 2 minimum wages	2,830	29.5%	100-499
½ to 1 minimum wage	2,195	22.9%	100-499
¼ to ½ minimum wage	1,030	10.7%	100-499
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	530	5.5%	50-99
Other / suppressed	30	0.3%	<5

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 25–39, female	1,595	16.6%	100-499
Ages 40–59, male	1,405	14.6%	100-499
Ages 40–59, female	1,365	14.2%	100-499
Ages 25–39, male	1,165	12.1%	100-499
Ages 5–14, male	750	7.8%	50-99
Ages 60 and over, female	715	7.5%	50-99
Ages 60 and over, male	705	7.3%	50-99
Ages 15–24, male	640	6.7%	50-99
Ages 15–24, female	635	6.6%	50-99
Ages 5–14, female	620	6.5%	50-99

Out-migrants (departures)

Migrant type
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Multi-step migration	2,745	53.0%	100-499
Return to municipality of birth	1,240	24.0%	100-499
First move from municipality of birth	1,165	22.5%	100-499
Other / suppressed	25	0.5%	<5

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	1,315	36.9%	100-499
Completed higher education	1,020	28.7%	50-99
No schooling or incomplete elementary	760	21.3%	100-499
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	465	13.1%	50-99

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
More than 2 minimum wages	1,465	28.3%	100-499
½ to 1 minimum wage	1,260	24.3%	100-499
1 to 2 minimum wages	1,115	21.5%	100-499
¼ to ½ minimum wage	630	12.2%	50-99
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	555	10.7%	50-99
Not applicable (collective dwelling)	160	3.1%	5-19

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 40–59, female	740	14.3%	50-99
Ages 40–59, male	700	13.5%	50-99
Ages 25–39, female	640	12.4%	50-99
Ages 25–39, male	605	11.7%	50-99
Ages 15–24, female	460	8.9%	50-99
Ages 60 and over, male	445	8.6%	20-49
Ages 60 and over, female	430	8.3%	50-99
Ages 15–24, male	400	7.7%	20-49
Ages 5–14, male	390	7.5%	20-49
Ages 5–14, female	370	7.1%	20-49

Non-migrant residents

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	20,785	37.9%	>=500
No schooling or incomplete elementary	17,715	32.3%	>=500
Completed higher education	8,275	15.1%	>=500
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	7,995	14.6%	>=500

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
½ to 1 minimum wage	28,330	34.1%	>=500
1 to 2 minimum wages	24,090	29.0%	>=500
¼ to ½ minimum wage	13,045	15.7%	>=500
More than 2 minimum wages	11,555	13.9%	>=500
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	5,950	7.2%	>=500
Other / suppressed	30	0.0%	<5

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 40–59, female	11,900	15.4%	>=500
Ages 40–59, male	11,535	14.9%	>=500
Ages 25–39, female	9,500	12.3%	>=500
Ages 25–39, male	9,390	12.2%	>=500
Ages 60 and over, female	6,605	8.5%	>=500
Ages 15–24, male	5,920	7.7%	>=500
Ages 15–24, female	5,855	7.6%	>=500
Ages 60 and over, male	5,840	7.6%	>=500
Ages 5–14, male	5,425	7.0%	>=500
Ages 5–14, female	5,285	6.8%	>=500

Commuting (work and study)

Commuting indicators for Ubatuba/SP
Employed persons (aged 10 and over)	48,355
Commute out to work in another municipality	1,100
Commute in from another municipality to work here	1,395
Net commuting	+290
Out-commuting rate (%)	2.28
Commuting attraction index	0.976
Median commuting time	45 min

This municipality is part of Região Metropolitana do Vale do Paraíba e Litoral Norte → see the metropolitan region page

Open Ubatuba/SP in the interactive atlas →

Methodological note

Estimates from the sample microdata of the 2022 Demographic Census (IBGE, controlled access), fixed-date migration question (residence on July 31, 2017 compared with residence on July 31, 2022). Every estimate is rounded to multiples of 5 and has passed statistical disclosure control (no cell with fewer than 5 people or 3 sampled households). See the full methodology and the glossary.

How to cite this page

Daniel Pessini Sobreira. Atlas da migração interna no Brasil [Atlas of internal migration in Brazil]: Ubatuba/SP. Data from the 2022 Demographic Census (IBGE). Data version: 2026-10-01. Available at: https://atlas-da-migracao.github.io/en/municipio/ubatuba-sp-3555406/. Dataset DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22469791.