Migration in Caraguatatuba/SP (2017–2022)

Caraguatatuba/SP had a reference population (aged 5 or over in 2022) of 126,475 people. In the 2017–2022 five-year period, the municipality received 18,515 in-migrants and lost 6,655 out-migrants to other municipalities in Brazil, resulting in a net migration of +11,860 people (93.78 per 1,000 population) and a migration effectiveness index (IEM) of 0.471. This classifies the municipality, for the period, as one of migratory attraction. In addition, 135 arrived with an unreported origin and 290 came from abroad.

Indicators

Migration indicators for Caraguatatuba/SP, 2017–2022
Indicator	Estimate	95% CI	Precision
In-migrants	18,515	17,206 to 19,824	good
Out-migrants	6,655	5,898 to 7,412	good
Net migration	+11,860	10,347 to 13,373	not classified
Net migration rate, TLM (per 1,000 pop.)	93.78	-	-
Migration effectiveness index (IEM)	0.471	-	-

Sample of in-migrants: >=500 observations. Sample of out-migrants: >=500 observations. 95% confidence interval computed as estimate ± 1.96 × standard error.

Top origins and destinations

Top 10 origins of in-migrants to Caraguatatuba/SP
Origin	People	Precision
São Paulo/SP · view pair in the atlas	5,285	good
São José dos Campos/SP · view pair in the atlas	1,255	good
Guarulhos/SP · view pair in the atlas	1,130	use with caution
São Sebastião/SP · view pair in the atlas	995	use with caution
Jacareí/SP · view pair in the atlas	500	use with caution
Campinas/SP · view pair in the atlas	345	use with caution
Ilhabela/SP · view pair in the atlas	325	use with caution
Taubaté/SP · view pair in the atlas	305	low precision
Ubatuba/SP · view pair in the atlas	285	use with caution
Mogi das Cruzes/SP · view pair in the atlas	245	low precision

Top 10 destinations of out-migrants from Caraguatatuba/SP
Destination	People	Precision
São José dos Campos/SP · view pair in the atlas	655	use with caution
São Sebastião/SP · view pair in the atlas	460	use with caution
São Paulo/SP · view pair in the atlas	330	low precision
Paraibuna/SP · view pair in the atlas	205	low precision
Natividade da Serra/SP · view pair in the atlas	205	use with caution
Ubatuba/SP · view pair in the atlas	200	low precision
Guarulhos/SP · view pair in the atlas	190	low precision
Taubaté/SP · view pair in the atlas	180	low precision
Jacareí/SP · view pair in the atlas	160	low precision
Caçapava/SP · view pair in the atlas	140	low precision

Profile of migrants and residents

In-migrants (arrivals)

Migrant type
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
First move from municipality of birth	9,755	52.7%	>=500
Multi-step migration	7,870	42.5%	>=500
Return to municipality of birth	810	4.4%	50-99
Born abroad, internal migrant	70	0.4%	5-19

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	5,795	43.7%	>=500
Completed higher education	3,865	29.1%	100-499
No schooling or incomplete elementary	2,235	16.8%	100-499
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	1,375	10.4%	100-499

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
More than 2 minimum wages	5,140	27.8%	100-499
1 to 2 minimum wages	4,755	25.7%	100-499
½ to 1 minimum wage	4,395	23.7%	>=500
¼ to ½ minimum wage	2,420	13.1%	100-499
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	1,650	8.9%	100-499
Not applicable (collective dwelling)	150	0.8%	5-19

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 25–39, female	2,640	14.3%	100-499
Ages 40–59, female	2,595	14.0%	100-499
Ages 25–39, male	2,385	12.9%	100-499
Ages 40–59, male	2,245	12.1%	100-499
Ages 60 and over, female	1,785	9.6%	100-499
Ages 60 and over, male	1,620	8.8%	100-499
Ages 5–14, male	1,440	7.8%	100-499
Ages 5–14, female	1,385	7.5%	100-499
Ages 15–24, female	1,310	7.1%	100-499
Ages 15–24, male	1,105	6.0%	100-499

Out-migrants (departures)

Migrant type
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Multi-step migration	3,725	56.0%	100-499
First move from municipality of birth	1,575	23.7%	100-499
Return to municipality of birth	1,320	19.8%	100-499
Other / suppressed	30	0.5%	<5

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	1,920	39.8%	100-499
No schooling or incomplete elementary	1,200	24.9%	100-499
Completed higher education	1,045	21.7%	50-99
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	655	13.6%	50-99

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
1 to 2 minimum wages	1,640	24.7%	100-499
½ to 1 minimum wage	1,570	23.6%	100-499
More than 2 minimum wages	1,370	20.6%	100-499
¼ to ½ minimum wage	935	14.1%	100-499
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	805	12.1%	50-99
Not applicable (collective dwelling)	330	5.0%	20-49

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 25–39, female	1,155	17.4%	100-499
Ages 25–39, male	945	14.2%	100-499
Ages 40–59, male	885	13.3%	100-499
Ages 40–59, female	760	11.4%	50-99
Ages 60 and over, female	665	10.0%	50-99
Ages 15–24, female	560	8.4%	50-99
Ages 5–14, male	465	7.0%	50-99
Ages 15–24, male	455	6.8%	50-99
Ages 60 and over, male	400	6.0%	20-49
Ages 5–14, female	355	5.3%	20-49

Non-migrant residents

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	30,560	40.3%	>=500
No schooling or incomplete elementary	19,680	26.0%	>=500
Completed higher education	13,665	18.0%	>=500
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	11,890	15.7%	>=500

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
½ to 1 minimum wage	35,810	30.9%	>=500
1 to 2 minimum wages	30,090	26.0%	>=500
¼ to ½ minimum wage	19,685	17.0%	>=500
More than 2 minimum wages	17,680	15.2%	>=500
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	12,030	10.4%	>=500
Not applicable (collective dwelling)	640	0.6%	50-99

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 40–59, female	16,580	15.4%	>=500
Ages 40–59, male	15,240	14.2%	>=500
Ages 25–39, female	12,840	11.9%	>=500
Ages 25–39, male	12,200	11.3%	>=500
Ages 60 and over, female	10,400	9.7%	>=500
Ages 60 and over, male	8,540	7.9%	>=500
Ages 5–14, male	8,145	7.6%	>=500
Ages 15–24, male	8,070	7.5%	>=500
Ages 15–24, female	7,845	7.3%	>=500
Ages 5–14, female	7,685	7.1%	>=500

Commuting (work and study)

Commuting indicators for Caraguatatuba/SP
Employed persons (aged 10 and over)	60,345
Commute out to work in another municipality	4,290
Commute in from another municipality to work here	2,350
Net commuting	−1,940
Out-commuting rate (%)	7.11
Commuting attraction index	0.949
Median commuting time	50 min

This municipality is part of Região Metropolitana do Vale do Paraíba e Litoral Norte → see the metropolitan region page

Open Caraguatatuba/SP in the interactive atlas →

Methodological note

Estimates from the sample microdata of the 2022 Demographic Census (IBGE, controlled access), fixed-date migration question (residence on July 31, 2017 compared with residence on July 31, 2022). Every estimate is rounded to multiples of 5 and has passed statistical disclosure control (no cell with fewer than 5 people or 3 sampled households). See the full methodology and the glossary.

How to cite this page

Daniel Pessini Sobreira. Atlas da migração interna no Brasil [Atlas of internal migration in Brazil]: Caraguatatuba/SP. Data from the 2022 Demographic Census (IBGE). Data version: 2026-10-01. Available at: https://atlas-da-migracao.github.io/en/municipio/caraguatatuba-sp-3510500/. Dataset DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22469791.