Migration in Guaratinguetá/SP (2017–2022)

Guaratinguetá/SP had a reference population (aged 5 or over in 2022) of 111,570 people. In the 2017–2022 five-year period, the municipality received 7,390 in-migrants and lost 7,230 out-migrants to other municipalities in Brazil, resulting in a net migration of +165 people (1.47 per 1,000 population) and a migration effectiveness index (IEM) of 0.011. This classifies the municipality, for the period, as one of migratory attraction. In addition, 75 arrived with an unreported origin and 170 came from abroad.

Indicators

Migration indicators for Guaratinguetá/SP, 2017–2022
Indicator	Estimate	95% CI	Precision
In-migrants	7,390	6,519 to 8,261	good
Out-migrants	7,230	6,339 to 8,121	good
Net migration	+165	−1,081 to 1,411	not classified
Net migration rate, TLM (per 1,000 pop.)	1.47	-	-
Migration effectiveness index (IEM)	0.011	-	-

Sample of in-migrants: >=500 observations. Sample of out-migrants: >=500 observations. 95% confidence interval computed as estimate ± 1.96 × standard error.

Top origins and destinations

Top 10 origins of in-migrants to Guaratinguetá/SP
Origin	People	Precision
Aparecida/SP · view pair in the atlas	955	use with caution
São Paulo/SP · view pair in the atlas	850	use with caution
Lorena/SP · view pair in the atlas	790	use with caution
São José dos Campos/SP · view pair in the atlas	315	low precision
Rio de Janeiro/RJ · view pair in the atlas	295	low precision
Cunha/SP · view pair in the atlas	285	use with caution
Potim/SP · view pair in the atlas	250	low precision
Taubaté/SP · view pair in the atlas	215	low precision
Pindamonhangaba/SP · view pair in the atlas	205	use with caution
Ubatuba/SP · view pair in the atlas	135	low precision

Top 10 destinations of out-migrants from Guaratinguetá/SP
Destination	People	Precision
Lorena/SP · view pair in the atlas	955	use with caution
São Paulo/SP · view pair in the atlas	795	use with caution
Aparecida/SP · view pair in the atlas	475	use with caution
Pindamonhangaba/SP · view pair in the atlas	400	use with caution
São José dos Campos/SP · view pair in the atlas	365	low precision
Taubaté/SP · view pair in the atlas	305	use with caution
Cunha/SP · view pair in the atlas	265	use with caution
Potim/SP · view pair in the atlas	250	low precision
Roseira/SP · view pair in the atlas	145	use with caution
Caraguatatuba/SP · view pair in the atlas	140	low precision

Profile of migrants and residents

In-migrants (arrivals)

Migrant type
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
First move from municipality of birth	3,075	41.6%	100-499
Multi-step migration	2,560	34.6%	100-499
Return to municipality of birth	1,745	23.6%	100-499
Other / suppressed	15	0.2%	<5

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	2,105	39.3%	100-499
Completed higher education	2,090	39.0%	100-499
No schooling or incomplete elementary	595	11.1%	50-99
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	570	10.6%	50-99

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
More than 2 minimum wages	2,675	36.1%	100-499
1 to 2 minimum wages	1,650	22.3%	100-499
½ to 1 minimum wage	1,515	20.5%	100-499
¼ to ½ minimum wage	705	9.5%	50-99
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	590	8.0%	20-49
Not applicable (collective dwelling)	265	3.6%	20-49

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 25–39, female	1,450	19.6%	100-499
Ages 25–39, male	1,360	18.4%	100-499
Ages 40–59, male	945	12.8%	50-99
Ages 40–59, female	840	11.4%	50-99
Ages 15–24, male	620	8.4%	50-99
Ages 5–14, male	555	7.5%	20-49
Ages 15–24, female	470	6.4%	20-49
Ages 60 and over, female	460	6.2%	20-49
Ages 5–14, female	385	5.2%	20-49
Ages 60 and over, male	305	4.1%	20-49

Out-migrants (departures)

Migrant type
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
First move from municipality of birth	3,820	52.9%	100-499
Multi-step migration	2,290	31.7%	100-499
Return to municipality of birth	1,105	15.3%	100-499
Other / suppressed	10	0.1%	<5

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	2,220	44.3%	100-499
Completed higher education	1,685	33.6%	100-499
No schooling or incomplete elementary	665	13.3%	50-99
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	440	8.8%	50-99

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
More than 2 minimum wages	2,355	32.6%	100-499
1 to 2 minimum wages	2,000	27.7%	100-499
½ to 1 minimum wage	1,260	17.4%	100-499
¼ to ½ minimum wage	950	13.1%	100-499
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	405	5.6%	20-49
Not applicable (collective dwelling)	255	3.5%	20-49

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 25–39, male	1,520	21.0%	100-499
Ages 25–39, female	1,285	17.8%	100-499
Ages 40–59, male	820	11.3%	50-99
Ages 40–59, female	790	10.9%	50-99
Ages 15–24, female	640	8.9%	50-99
Ages 15–24, male	615	8.5%	50-99
Ages 5–14, male	520	7.2%	20-49
Ages 5–14, female	435	6.0%	20-49
Ages 60 and over, female	410	5.7%	20-49
Ages 60 and over, male	190	2.6%	20-49

Non-migrant residents

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	30,140	39.2%	>=500
No schooling or incomplete elementary	19,530	25.4%	>=500
Completed higher education	16,750	21.8%	>=500
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	10,470	13.6%	>=500

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
½ to 1 minimum wage	33,005	29.9%	>=500
1 to 2 minimum wages	30,070	27.2%	>=500
More than 2 minimum wages	22,515	20.4%	>=500
¼ to ½ minimum wage	15,655	14.2%	>=500
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	8,770	7.9%	>=500
Not applicable (collective dwelling)	395	0.4%	20-49

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 40–59, female	16,970	16.3%	>=500
Ages 40–59, male	15,250	14.7%	>=500
Ages 60 and over, female	12,420	11.9%	>=500
Ages 25–39, female	11,645	11.2%	>=500
Ages 25–39, male	11,195	10.8%	>=500
Ages 60 and over, male	9,410	9.1%	>=500
Ages 15–24, female	6,975	6.7%	>=500
Ages 15–24, male	6,975	6.7%	>=500
Ages 5–14, female	6,575	6.3%	>=500
Ages 5–14, male	6,525	6.3%	>=500

Commuting (work and study)

Commuting indicators for Guaratinguetá/SP
Employed persons (aged 10 and over)	55,310
Commute out to work in another municipality	7,255
Commute in from another municipality to work here	8,070
Net commuting	+815
Out-commuting rate (%)	13.12
Commuting attraction index	0.991
Median commuting time	30 min

This municipality is part of Região Metropolitana do Vale do Paraíba e Litoral Norte → see the metropolitan region page

Open Guaratinguetá/SP in the interactive atlas →

Methodological note

Estimates from the sample microdata of the 2022 Demographic Census (IBGE, controlled access), fixed-date migration question (residence on July 31, 2017 compared with residence on July 31, 2022). Every estimate is rounded to multiples of 5 and has passed statistical disclosure control (no cell with fewer than 5 people or 3 sampled households). See the full methodology and the glossary.

How to cite this page

Daniel Pessini Sobreira. Atlas da migração interna no Brasil [Atlas of internal migration in Brazil]: Guaratinguetá/SP. Data from the 2022 Demographic Census (IBGE). Data version: 2026-10-01. Available at: https://atlas-da-migracao.github.io/en/municipio/guaratingueta-sp-3518404/. Dataset DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22469791.