Migration in Cubatão/SP (2017–2022)

Cubatão/SP had a reference population (aged 5 or over in 2022) of 105,350 people. In the 2017–2022 five-year period, the municipality received 4,605 in-migrants and lost 7,025 out-migrants to other municipalities in Brazil, resulting in a net migration of −2,420 people (−22.98 per 1,000 population) and a migration effectiveness index (IEM) of −0.208. This classifies the municipality, for the period, as one of migratory depletion. In addition, 40 arrived with an unreported origin and 40 came from abroad.

Indicators

Migration indicators for Cubatão/SP, 2017–2022
Indicator	Estimate	95% CI	Precision
In-migrants	4,605	4,009 to 5,201	good
Out-migrants	7,025	6,146 to 7,904	good
Net migration	−2,420	−3,482 to −1,358	not classified
Net migration rate, TLM (per 1,000 pop.)	−22.98	-	-
Migration effectiveness index (IEM)	−0.208	-	-

Sample of in-migrants: >=500 observations. Sample of out-migrants: >=500 observations. 95% confidence interval computed as estimate ± 1.96 × standard error.

Top origins and destinations

Top 10 origins of in-migrants to Cubatão/SP
Origin	People	Precision
Santos/SP · view pair in the atlas	830	use with caution
São Vicente/SP · view pair in the atlas	625	use with caution
Praia Grande/SP · view pair in the atlas	305	use with caution
São Paulo/SP · view pair in the atlas	220	use with caution
Guarujá/SP · view pair in the atlas	150	low precision
Recife/PE · view pair in the atlas	125	low precision
Natal/RN · view pair in the atlas	60	low precision
Salvador/BA · view pair in the atlas	60	low precision
Sorocaba/SP · view pair in the atlas	55	low precision
São Bernardo do Campo/SP · view pair in the atlas	45	low precision

Top 10 destinations of out-migrants from Cubatão/SP
Destination	People	Precision
Praia Grande/SP · view pair in the atlas	1,760	good
Santos/SP · view pair in the atlas	975	use with caution
São Vicente/SP · view pair in the atlas	770	use with caution
São Paulo/SP · view pair in the atlas	155	low precision
Ribeirão Preto/SP · view pair in the atlas	130	low precision
Itanhaém/SP · view pair in the atlas	115	low precision
Guarujá/SP · view pair in the atlas	100	low precision
Barueri/SP · view pair in the atlas	95	low precision
Mongaguá/SP · view pair in the atlas	85	low precision
Ipatinga/MG · view pair in the atlas	50	low precision

Profile of migrants and residents

In-migrants (arrivals)

Migrant type
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
First move from municipality of birth	2,465	53.6%	100-499
Multi-step migration	1,710	37.2%	100-499
Return to municipality of birth	415	9.0%	20-49
Other / suppressed	10	0.2%	<5

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	1,360	47.4%	100-499
No schooling or incomplete elementary	760	26.5%	50-99
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	405	14.1%	50-99
Completed higher education	345	12.0%	20-49

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
½ to 1 minimum wage	1,515	32.9%	100-499
1 to 2 minimum wages	1,100	23.9%	100-499
¼ to ½ minimum wage	830	18.0%	100-499
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	575	12.5%	50-99
More than 2 minimum wages	570	12.4%	50-99
Other / suppressed	20	0.4%	<5

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 25–39, female	810	17.6%	50-99
Ages 25–39, male	710	15.5%	50-99
Ages 40–59, male	620	13.5%	50-99
Ages 15–24, female	545	11.9%	50-99
Ages 40–59, female	435	9.5%	20-49
Ages 5–14, male	425	9.2%	50-99
Ages 5–14, female	385	8.4%	20-49
Ages 15–24, male	375	8.2%	20-49
Ages 60 and over, female	190	4.1%	5-19
Ages 60 and over, male	100	2.2%	5-19

Out-migrants (departures)

Migrant type
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
First move from municipality of birth	3,025	43.1%	100-499
Multi-step migration	2,995	42.6%	100-499
Return to municipality of birth	1,005	14.3%	100-499

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	1,970	41.0%	100-499
Completed higher education	1,090	22.7%	50-99
No schooling or incomplete elementary	940	19.5%	100-499
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	810	16.8%	50-99

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
½ to 1 minimum wage	1,975	28.1%	100-499
1 to 2 minimum wages	1,725	24.6%	100-499
More than 2 minimum wages	1,615	23.0%	100-499
¼ to ½ minimum wage	1,110	15.8%	100-499
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	465	6.6%	50-99
Not applicable (collective dwelling)	135	1.9%	5-19

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 25–39, female	1,180	16.8%	100-499
Ages 25–39, male	1,140	16.3%	100-499
Ages 40–59, female	995	14.2%	50-99
Ages 40–59, male	855	12.2%	50-99
Ages 5–14, female	580	8.3%	50-99
Ages 5–14, male	575	8.2%	50-99
Ages 15–24, female	540	7.7%	50-99
Ages 15–24, male	515	7.3%	50-99
Ages 60 and over, female	325	4.6%	20-49
Ages 60 and over, male	310	4.4%	20-49

Non-migrant residents

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	28,765	41.4%	>=500
No schooling or incomplete elementary	21,100	30.4%	>=500
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	12,245	17.6%	>=500
Completed higher education	7,410	10.7%	>=500

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
½ to 1 minimum wage	35,565	33.0%	>=500
1 to 2 minimum wages	27,935	25.9%	>=500
¼ to ½ minimum wage	20,170	18.7%	>=500
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	12,585	11.7%	>=500
More than 2 minimum wages	11,495	10.7%	>=500
Not applicable (collective dwelling)	35	0.0%	5-19

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 40–59, female	15,630	15.5%	>=500
Ages 40–59, male	13,665	13.6%	>=500
Ages 25–39, female	12,665	12.6%	>=500
Ages 25–39, male	11,790	11.7%	>=500
Ages 60 and over, female	8,880	8.8%	>=500
Ages 15–24, male	8,300	8.2%	>=500
Ages 15–24, female	7,970	7.9%	>=500
Ages 5–14, male	7,535	7.5%	>=500
Ages 5–14, female	7,340	7.3%	>=500
Ages 60 and over, male	6,890	6.8%	>=500

Commuting (work and study)

Commuting indicators for Cubatão/SP
Employed persons (aged 10 and over)	45,220
Commute out to work in another municipality	11,025
Commute in from another municipality to work here	13,565
Net commuting	+2,540
Out-commuting rate (%)	24.38
Commuting attraction index	1.036
Median commuting time	60 min

This municipality is part of Região Metropolitana da Baixada Santista → see the metropolitan region page

Open Cubatão/SP in the interactive atlas →

Methodological note

Estimates from the sample microdata of the 2022 Demographic Census (IBGE, controlled access), fixed-date migration question (residence on July 31, 2017 compared with residence on July 31, 2022). Every estimate is rounded to multiples of 5 and has passed statistical disclosure control (no cell with fewer than 5 people or 3 sampled households). See the full methodology and the glossary.

How to cite this page

Daniel Pessini Sobreira. Atlas da migração interna no Brasil [Atlas of internal migration in Brazil]: Cubatão/SP. Data from the 2022 Demographic Census (IBGE). Data version: 2026-10-01. Available at: https://atlas-da-migracao.github.io/en/municipio/cubatao-sp-3513504/. Dataset DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22469791.