Migration in Guariba/SP (2017–2022)

Guariba/SP had a reference population (aged 5 or over in 2022) of 35,300 people. In the 2017–2022 five-year period, the municipality received 1,045 in-migrants and lost 1,945 out-migrants to other municipalities in Brazil, resulting in a net migration of −900 people (−25.43 per 1,000 population) and a migration effectiveness index (IEM) of −0.300. This classifies the municipality, for the period, as one of migratory depletion. In addition, 0 arrived with an unreported origin and 15 came from abroad.

Indicators

Migration indicators for Guariba/SP, 2017–2022
Indicator	Estimate	95% CI	Precision
In-migrants	1,045	740 to 1,350	good
Out-migrants	1,945	1,480 to 2,410	good
Net migration	−900	−1,456 to −344	not classified
Net migration rate, TLM (per 1,000 pop.)	−25.43	-	-
Migration effectiveness index (IEM)	−0.300	-	-

Sample of in-migrants: 100-499 observations. Sample of out-migrants: 100-499 observations. 95% confidence interval computed as estimate ± 1.96 × standard error.

Top origins and destinations

Top 10 origins of in-migrants to Guariba/SP
Origin	People	Precision
Timbiras/MA · view pair in the atlas	100	low precision
Jaboticabal/SP · view pair in the atlas	65	low precision
Coroatá/MA · view pair in the atlas	55	low precision
Ribeirão Preto/SP · view pair in the atlas	55	low precision
Pradópolis/SP · view pair in the atlas	50	low precision

Top 10 destinations of out-migrants from Guariba/SP
Destination	People	Precision
Ribeirão Preto/SP · view pair in the atlas	445	low precision
Jaboticabal/SP · view pair in the atlas	305	use with caution
Sertãozinho/SP · view pair in the atlas	105	low precision
Barrinha/SP · view pair in the atlas	65	low precision
Araraquara/SP · view pair in the atlas	55	low precision
Pradópolis/SP · view pair in the atlas	50	low precision
Taiúva/SP · view pair in the atlas	35	low precision
Motuca/SP · view pair in the atlas	20	low precision

Profile of migrants and residents

In-migrants (arrivals)

Migrant type
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
First move from municipality of birth	610	58.4%	50-99
Multi-step migration	330	31.6%	20-49
Return to municipality of birth	105	10.0%	5-19

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	220	37.0%	20-49
No schooling or incomplete elementary	205	34.5%	20-49
Completed higher education	95	16.0%	5-19
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	75	12.6%	5-19

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
½ to 1 minimum wage	350	33.7%	20-49
1 to 2 minimum wages	295	28.4%	20-49
¼ to ½ minimum wage	170	16.3%	5-19
More than 2 minimum wages	110	10.6%	5-19
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	105	10.1%	5-19
Other / suppressed	10	1.0%	<5

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 25–39, male	220	21.0%	20-49
Ages 15–24, female	190	18.1%	5-19
Ages 25–39, female	155	14.8%	5-19
Ages 15–24, male	120	11.4%	5-19
Ages 40–59, male	100	9.5%	5-19
Ages 40–59, female	90	8.6%	5-19
Ages 5–14, male	75	7.1%	5-19
Ages 5–14, female	65	6.2%	5-19
Other / suppressed	35	3.3%	<5

Out-migrants (departures)

Migrant type
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
First move from municipality of birth	1,000	51.4%	100-499
Multi-step migration	725	37.3%	50-99
Return to municipality of birth	220	11.3%	20-49

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
No schooling or incomplete elementary	415	35.6%	20-49
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	380	32.6%	20-49
Completed higher education	215	18.5%	20-49
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	155	13.3%	20-49

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
½ to 1 minimum wage	655	33.7%	50-99
More than 2 minimum wages	395	20.3%	20-49
1 to 2 minimum wages	385	19.8%	20-49
¼ to ½ minimum wage	250	12.9%	20-49
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	160	8.2%	20-49
Not applicable (collective dwelling)	100	5.1%	5-19

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 25–39, male	510	26.2%	50-99
Ages 25–39, female	325	16.7%	20-49
Ages 15–24, male	235	12.1%	20-49
Ages 5–14, female	220	11.3%	20-49
Ages 15–24, female	220	11.3%	20-49
Ages 40–59, female	165	8.5%	5-19
Ages 40–59, male	150	7.7%	20-49
Ages 5–14, male	105	5.4%	5-19
Other / suppressed	20	1.0%	<5

Non-migrant residents

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
No schooling or incomplete elementary	9,415	38.9%	>=500
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	8,325	34.4%	>=500
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	3,870	16.0%	100-499
Completed higher education	2,575	10.6%	100-499

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
½ to 1 minimum wage	12,945	35.5%	>=500
1 to 2 minimum wages	10,670	29.3%	>=500
¼ to ½ minimum wage	5,375	14.8%	>=500
More than 2 minimum wages	3,515	9.6%	100-499
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	3,160	8.7%	100-499
Not applicable (collective dwelling)	770	2.1%	50-99

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 40–59, female	5,245	15.3%	>=500
Ages 25–39, female	4,740	13.8%	100-499
Ages 40–59, male	4,735	13.8%	100-499
Ages 25–39, male	4,045	11.8%	100-499
Ages 60 and over, female	2,940	8.6%	100-499
Ages 15–24, male	2,640	7.7%	100-499
Ages 15–24, female	2,545	7.4%	100-499
Ages 5–14, male	2,515	7.3%	100-499
Ages 60 and over, male	2,485	7.3%	100-499
Ages 5–14, female	2,350	6.9%	100-499

Commuting (work and study)

Commuting indicators for Guariba/SP
Employed persons (aged 10 and over)	16,200
Commute out to work in another municipality	2,890
Commute in from another municipality to work here	1,735
Net commuting	−1,150
Out-commuting rate (%)	17.83
Commuting attraction index	0.902
Median commuting time	50 min

This municipality is part of Região Metropolitana de Ribeirão Preto → see the metropolitan region page

Open Guariba/SP in the interactive atlas →

Methodological note

Estimates from the sample microdata of the 2022 Demographic Census (IBGE, controlled access), fixed-date migration question (residence on July 31, 2017 compared with residence on July 31, 2022). Every estimate is rounded to multiples of 5 and has passed statistical disclosure control (no cell with fewer than 5 people or 3 sampled households). See the full methodology and the glossary.

How to cite this page

Daniel Pessini Sobreira. Atlas da migração interna no Brasil [Atlas of internal migration in Brazil]: Guariba/SP. Data from the 2022 Demographic Census (IBGE). Data version: 2026-10-01. Available at: https://atlas-da-migracao.github.io/en/municipio/guariba-sp-3518602/. Dataset DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22469791.