Migration in Vargem/SP (2017–2022)

Vargem/SP had a reference population (aged 5 or over in 2022) of 9,825 people. In the 2017–2022 five-year period, the municipality received 1,645 in-migrants and lost 545 out-migrants to other municipalities in Brazil, resulting in a net migration of +1,100 people (112.14 per 1,000 population) and a migration effectiveness index (IEM) of 0.504. This classifies the municipality, for the period, as one of migratory attraction. In addition, 20 arrived with an unreported origin and 5 came from abroad.

Indicators

Migration indicators for Vargem/SP, 2017–2022
Indicator	Estimate	95% CI	Precision
In-migrants	1,645	1,333 to 1,957	good
Out-migrants	545	267 to 823	use with caution
Net migration	+1,100	682 to 1,518	not classified
Net migration rate, TLM (per 1,000 pop.)	112.14	-	-
Migration effectiveness index (IEM)	0.504	-	-

Sample of in-migrants: 100-499 observations. Sample of out-migrants: 50-99 observations. 95% confidence interval computed as estimate ± 1.96 × standard error.

Top origins and destinations

Top 10 origins of in-migrants to Vargem/SP
Origin	People	Precision
São Paulo/SP · view pair in the atlas	285	use with caution
Bragança Paulista/SP · view pair in the atlas	215	use with caution
Extrema/MG · view pair in the atlas	175	use with caution
São José dos Campos/SP · view pair in the atlas	50	low precision
Guarulhos/SP · view pair in the atlas	30	low precision
Atibaia/SP · view pair in the atlas	25	low precision

Top 10 destinations of out-migrants from Vargem/SP
Destination	People	Precision
Bragança Paulista/SP · view pair in the atlas	190	low precision

Profile of migrants and residents

In-migrants (arrivals)

Migrant type
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
First move from municipality of birth	880	53.5%	100-499
Multi-step migration	735	44.7%	100-499
Return to municipality of birth	30	1.8%	5-19

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
No schooling or incomplete elementary	360	35.1%	50-99
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	335	32.7%	50-99
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	190	18.5%	20-49
Completed higher education	140	13.7%	20-49

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
½ to 1 minimum wage	570	34.8%	100-499
1 to 2 minimum wages	555	33.8%	100-499
More than 2 minimum wages	230	14.0%	20-49
¼ to ½ minimum wage	160	9.8%	20-49
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	125	7.6%	5-19

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 25–39, female	260	15.8%	20-49
Ages 40–59, male	200	12.1%	20-49
Ages 25–39, male	200	12.1%	20-49
Ages 15–24, male	190	11.5%	20-49
Ages 40–59, female	190	11.5%	20-49
Ages 15–24, female	165	10.0%	20-49
Ages 5–14, male	155	9.4%	20-49
Ages 5–14, female	105	6.4%	5-19
Ages 60 and over, male	100	6.1%	5-19
Ages 60 and over, female	85	5.2%	5-19

Out-migrants (departures)

Migrant type
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Multi-step migration	370	68.5%	20-49
Return to municipality of birth	115	21.3%	5-19
First move from municipality of birth	55	10.2%	5-19

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
No schooling or incomplete elementary	125	35.2%	5-19
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	110	31.0%	5-19
Completed higher education	80	22.5%	5-19
Other / suppressed	40	11.3%	<5

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
½ to 1 minimum wage	220	40.4%	20-49
More than 2 minimum wages	165	30.3%	5-19
1 to 2 minimum wages	140	25.7%	5-19
Other / suppressed	20	3.7%	<5

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Other / suppressed	160	29.1%	5-19
Ages 25–39, male	155	28.2%	5-19
Ages 15–24, female	115	20.9%	5-19
Ages 25–39, female	70	12.7%	5-19
Ages 40–59, female	50	9.1%	5-19

Non-migrant residents

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
No schooling or incomplete elementary	2,970	49.5%	>=500
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	1,660	27.7%	100-499
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	800	13.3%	100-499
Completed higher education	570	9.5%	100-499

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
½ to 1 minimum wage	3,040	34.4%	>=500
1 to 2 minimum wages	2,970	33.6%	>=500
More than 2 minimum wages	1,230	13.9%	100-499
¼ to ½ minimum wage	925	10.5%	100-499
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	670	7.6%	100-499

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 40–59, male	1,230	15.1%	100-499
Ages 40–59, female	1,130	13.9%	100-499
Ages 25–39, male	995	12.2%	100-499
Ages 25–39, female	935	11.5%	100-499
Ages 60 and over, female	880	10.8%	100-499
Ages 60 and over, male	825	10.1%	100-499
Ages 5–14, female	565	6.9%	100-499
Ages 5–14, male	560	6.9%	50-99
Ages 15–24, male	525	6.4%	50-99
Ages 15–24, female	505	6.2%	50-99

Commuting (work and study)

Commuting indicators for Vargem/SP
Employed persons (aged 10 and over)	5,075
Commute out to work in another municipality	1,980
Commute in from another municipality to work here	225
Net commuting	−1,755
Out-commuting rate (%)	39.02
Commuting attraction index	0.614
Median commuting time	30 min

Open Vargem/SP in the interactive atlas →

Methodological note

Estimates from the sample microdata of the 2022 Demographic Census (IBGE, controlled access), fixed-date migration question (residence on July 31, 2017 compared with residence on July 31, 2022). Every estimate is rounded to multiples of 5 and has passed statistical disclosure control (no cell with fewer than 5 people or 3 sampled households). See the full methodology and the glossary.

How to cite this page

Daniel Pessini Sobreira. Atlas da migração interna no Brasil [Atlas of internal migration in Brazil]: Vargem/SP. Data from the 2022 Demographic Census (IBGE). Data version: 2026-10-01. Available at: https://atlas-da-migracao.github.io/en/municipio/vargem-sp-3556354/. Dataset DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22469791.