Migration in Guareí/SP (2017–2022)

Guareí/SP had a reference population (aged 5 or over in 2022) of 14,255 people. In the 2017–2022 five-year period, the municipality received 2,555 in-migrants and lost 1,265 out-migrants to other municipalities in Brazil, resulting in a net migration of +1,290 people (90.64 per 1,000 population) and a migration effectiveness index (IEM) of 0.338. This classifies the municipality, for the period, as one of migratory attraction. In addition, 0 arrived with an unreported origin and 10 came from abroad.

Indicators

Migration indicators for Guareí/SP, 2017–2022
Indicator	Estimate	95% CI	Precision
In-migrants	2,555	2,290 to 2,820	good
Out-migrants	1,265	1,031 to 1,499	good
Net migration	+1,290	936 to 1,644	not classified
Net migration rate, TLM (per 1,000 pop.)	90.64	-	-
Migration effectiveness index (IEM)	0.338	-	-

Sample of in-migrants: 100-499 observations. Sample of out-migrants: 100-499 observations. 95% confidence interval computed as estimate ± 1.96 × standard error.

Top origins and destinations

Top 10 origins of in-migrants to Guareí/SP
Origin	People	Precision
Itapetininga/SP · view pair in the atlas	210	use with caution
São Paulo/SP · view pair in the atlas	190	use with caution
Tatuí/SP · view pair in the atlas	155	use with caution
Sorocaba/SP · view pair in the atlas	145	use with caution
Campinas/SP · view pair in the atlas	80	use with caution
Jundiaí/SP · view pair in the atlas	65	low precision
Barueri/SP · view pair in the atlas	45	low precision
Capão Bonito/SP · view pair in the atlas	45	low precision
São Miguel Arcanjo/SP · view pair in the atlas	35	low precision
Piracicaba/SP · view pair in the atlas	35	low precision

Top 10 destinations of out-migrants from Guareí/SP
Destination	People	Precision
Balbinos/SP · view pair in the atlas	105	use with caution
Iperó/SP · view pair in the atlas	95	low precision
Itirapina/SP · view pair in the atlas	85	use with caution
Tupi Paulista/SP · view pair in the atlas	80	use with caution
Itapetininga/SP · view pair in the atlas	80	low precision
Presidente Prudente/SP · view pair in the atlas	50	low precision
Bofete/SP · view pair in the atlas	45	low precision
Tatuí/SP · view pair in the atlas	45	low precision
Pacaembu/SP · view pair in the atlas	35	low precision
Porangaba/SP · view pair in the atlas	25	low precision

Profile of migrants and residents

In-migrants (arrivals)

Migrant type
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Multi-step migration	1,305	51.0%	100-499
First move from municipality of birth	1,120	43.8%	100-499
Return to municipality of birth	135	5.3%	20-49

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
No schooling or incomplete elementary	975	50.6%	100-499
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	430	22.3%	50-99
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	425	22.1%	50-99
Completed higher education	95	4.9%	5-19

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Not applicable (collective dwelling)	1,505	58.9%	100-499
½ to 1 minimum wage	385	15.1%	50-99
1 to 2 minimum wages	265	10.4%	50-99
¼ to ½ minimum wage	260	10.2%	20-49
More than 2 minimum wages	80	3.1%	5-19
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	60	2.3%	5-19

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 25–39, male	995	38.9%	100-499
Ages 40–59, male	480	18.8%	50-99
Ages 15–24, male	320	12.5%	50-99
Ages 25–39, female	165	6.5%	20-49
Ages 60 and over, male	120	4.7%	20-49
Ages 15–24, female	120	4.7%	20-49
Ages 40–59, female	105	4.1%	20-49
Ages 5–14, male	100	3.9%	5-19
Ages 5–14, female	90	3.5%	5-19
Ages 60 and over, female	60	2.3%	5-19

Out-migrants (departures)

Migrant type
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Multi-step migration	1,000	79.1%	100-499
First move from municipality of birth	150	11.9%	20-49
Return to municipality of birth	115	9.1%	5-19

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
No schooling or incomplete elementary	555	54.4%	50-99
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	305	29.9%	20-49
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	120	11.8%	20-49
Completed higher education	40	3.9%	5-19

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Not applicable (collective dwelling)	680	53.5%	100-499
½ to 1 minimum wage	230	18.1%	20-49
1 to 2 minimum wages	150	11.8%	5-19
¼ to ½ minimum wage	125	9.8%	20-49
More than 2 minimum wages	45	3.5%	5-19
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	40	3.1%	5-19

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 25–39, male	505	39.9%	50-99
Ages 40–59, male	275	21.7%	20-49
Ages 15–24, female	105	8.3%	5-19
Ages 40–59, female	80	6.3%	5-19
Ages 15–24, male	65	5.1%	5-19
Ages 25–39, female	65	5.1%	5-19
Ages 60 and over, male	50	4.0%	5-19
Ages 60 and over, female	50	4.0%	5-19
Ages 5–14, female	35	2.8%	5-19
Ages 5–14, male	35	2.8%	5-19

Non-migrant residents

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
No schooling or incomplete elementary	4,300	49.2%	>=500
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	2,285	26.1%	100-499
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	1,455	16.6%	100-499
Completed higher education	700	8.0%	100-499

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
½ to 1 minimum wage	4,315	34.7%	>=500
1 to 2 minimum wages	3,410	27.4%	>=500
¼ to ½ minimum wage	2,045	16.4%	100-499
Not applicable (collective dwelling)	1,230	9.9%	100-499
More than 2 minimum wages	1,095	8.8%	100-499
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	350	2.8%	50-99

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 25–39, male	2,045	17.5%	100-499
Ages 40–59, male	1,925	16.5%	100-499
Ages 40–59, female	1,555	13.3%	100-499
Ages 25–39, female	1,100	9.4%	100-499
Ages 60 and over, male	1,075	9.2%	100-499
Ages 60 and over, female	1,040	8.9%	100-499
Ages 15–24, male	905	7.7%	100-499
Ages 15–24, female	705	6.0%	100-499
Ages 5–14, female	675	5.8%	100-499
Ages 5–14, male	660	5.6%	100-499

Commuting (work and study)

Commuting indicators for Guareí/SP
Employed persons (aged 10 and over)	7,075
Commute out to work in another municipality	495
Commute in from another municipality to work here	305
Net commuting	−190
Out-commuting rate (%)	6.99
Commuting attraction index	0.953
Median commuting time	59 min

Open Guareí/SP in the interactive atlas →

Methodological note

Estimates from the sample microdata of the 2022 Demographic Census (IBGE, controlled access), fixed-date migration question (residence on July 31, 2017 compared with residence on July 31, 2022). Every estimate is rounded to multiples of 5 and has passed statistical disclosure control (no cell with fewer than 5 people or 3 sampled households). See the full methodology and the glossary.

How to cite this page

Daniel Pessini Sobreira. Atlas da migração interna no Brasil [Atlas of internal migration in Brazil]: Guareí/SP. Data from the 2022 Demographic Census (IBGE). Data version: 2026-10-01. Available at: https://atlas-da-migracao.github.io/en/municipio/guarei-sp-3518503/. Dataset DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22469791.