Migration in Guaraçaí/SP (2017–2022)

Guaraçaí/SP had a reference population (aged 5 or over in 2022) of 7,115 people. In the 2017–2022 five-year period, the municipality received 495 in-migrants and lost 755 out-migrants to other municipalities in Brazil, resulting in a net migration of −260 people (−36.27 per 1,000 population) and a migration effectiveness index (IEM) of −0.206. This classifies the municipality, for the period, as one of migratory depletion.

Indicators

Migration indicators for Guaraçaí/SP, 2017–2022
Indicator	Estimate	95% CI	Precision
In-migrants	495	354 to 636	good
Out-migrants	755	539 to 971	good
Net migration	−260	−518 to −2	not classified
Net migration rate, TLM (per 1,000 pop.)	−36.27	-	-
Migration effectiveness index (IEM)	−0.206	-	-

Sample of in-migrants: 100-499 observations. Sample of out-migrants: 100-499 observations. 95% confidence interval computed as estimate ± 1.96 × standard error.

Top origins and destinations

Top 10 origins of in-migrants to Guaraçaí/SP
Origin	People	Precision
Mirandópolis/SP · view pair in the atlas	60	low precision
Campinas/SP · view pair in the atlas	35	low precision
Araçatuba/SP · view pair in the atlas	30	low precision
Murutinga do Sul/SP · view pair in the atlas	15	low precision

Top 10 destinations of out-migrants from Guaraçaí/SP
Destination	People	Precision
Andradina/SP · view pair in the atlas	160	low precision
Mirandópolis/SP · view pair in the atlas	145	low precision
Nova Independência/SP · view pair in the atlas	45	low precision
Murutinga do Sul/SP · view pair in the atlas	40	low precision

Profile of migrants and residents

In-migrants (arrivals)

Migrant type
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
First move from municipality of birth	205	41.0%	20-49
Multi-step migration	165	33.0%	20-49
Return to municipality of birth	130	26.0%	20-49

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
No schooling or incomplete elementary	110	32.8%	20-49
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	95	28.4%	5-19
Completed higher education	80	23.9%	5-19
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	50	14.9%	5-19

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
½ to 1 minimum wage	130	26.3%	20-49
1 to 2 minimum wages	125	25.3%	20-49
¼ to ½ minimum wage	120	24.2%	20-49
More than 2 minimum wages	90	18.2%	20-49
Other / suppressed	30	6.1%	5-19

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 40–59, female	70	13.9%	5-19
Ages 25–39, female	65	12.9%	5-19
Ages 40–59, male	65	12.9%	5-19
Ages 25–39, male	60	11.9%	5-19
Ages 5–14, female	55	10.9%	5-19
Ages 15–24, female	55	10.9%	5-19
Ages 60 and over, male	45	8.9%	5-19
Ages 15–24, male	40	7.9%	5-19
Ages 60 and over, female	35	6.9%	5-19
Other / suppressed	15	3.0%	<5

Out-migrants (departures)

Migrant type
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Multi-step migration	330	43.7%	50-99
First move from municipality of birth	300	39.7%	20-49
Return to municipality of birth	125	16.6%	5-19

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	230	47.4%	20-49
Completed higher education	105	21.6%	5-19
No schooling or incomplete elementary	90	18.6%	5-19
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	60	12.4%	5-19

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
1 to 2 minimum wages	310	40.8%	20-49
More than 2 minimum wages	200	26.3%	20-49
½ to 1 minimum wage	165	21.7%	20-49
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	45	5.9%	5-19
¼ to ½ minimum wage	40	5.3%	5-19

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 25–39, male	150	19.9%	5-19
Ages 25–39, female	115	15.2%	5-19
Ages 15–24, male	110	14.6%	5-19
Ages 40–59, male	100	13.2%	5-19
Ages 15–24, female	75	9.9%	5-19
Ages 40–59, female	60	7.9%	5-19
Ages 5–14, male	45	6.0%	5-19
Ages 5–14, female	45	6.0%	5-19
Ages 60 and over, male	30	4.0%	5-19
Ages 60 and over, female	25	3.3%	5-19

Non-migrant residents

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
No schooling or incomplete elementary	2,215	42.9%	100-499
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	1,565	30.3%	100-499
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	740	14.3%	100-499
Completed higher education	640	12.4%	100-499

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
½ to 1 minimum wage	2,650	38.2%	>=500
1 to 2 minimum wages	2,250	32.4%	100-499
More than 2 minimum wages	905	13.0%	100-499
¼ to ½ minimum wage	820	11.8%	100-499
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	310	4.5%	50-99

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 40–59, female	1,090	16.5%	100-499
Ages 40–59, male	1,025	15.5%	100-499
Ages 60 and over, female	980	14.8%	100-499
Ages 60 and over, male	855	12.9%	100-499
Ages 25–39, male	615	9.3%	100-499
Ages 25–39, female	595	9.0%	100-499
Ages 15–24, male	390	5.9%	50-99
Ages 5–14, male	390	5.9%	50-99
Ages 15–24, female	385	5.8%	50-99
Ages 5–14, female	300	4.5%	50-99

Commuting (work and study)

Commuting indicators for Guaraçaí/SP
Employed persons (aged 10 and over)	3,480
Commute out to work in another municipality	445
Commute in from another municipality to work here	90
Net commuting	−355
Out-commuting rate (%)	12.76
Commuting attraction index	0.847
Median commuting time	48 min

Open Guaraçaí/SP in the interactive atlas →

Methodological note

Estimates from the sample microdata of the 2022 Demographic Census (IBGE, controlled access), fixed-date migration question (residence on July 31, 2017 compared with residence on July 31, 2022). Every estimate is rounded to multiples of 5 and has passed statistical disclosure control (no cell with fewer than 5 people or 3 sampled households). See the full methodology and the glossary.

How to cite this page

Daniel Pessini Sobreira. Atlas da migração interna no Brasil [Atlas of internal migration in Brazil]: Guaraçaí/SP. Data from the 2022 Demographic Census (IBGE). Data version: 2026-10-01. Available at: https://atlas-da-migracao.github.io/en/municipio/guaracai-sp-3517802/. Dataset DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22469791.