Migration in Serra Caiada/RN (2017–2022)

Serra Caiada/RN had a reference population (aged 5 or over in 2022) of 9,400 people. In the 2017–2022 five-year period, the municipality received 660 in-migrants and lost 755 out-migrants to other municipalities in Brazil, resulting in a net migration of −95 people (−10.34 per 1,000 population) and a migration effectiveness index (IEM) of −0.069. This classifies the municipality, for the period, as one of migratory depletion. In addition, 15 arrived with an unreported origin and 0 came from abroad.

Indicators

Migration indicators for Serra Caiada/RN, 2017–2022
Indicator	Estimate	95% CI	Precision
In-migrants	660	464 to 856	use with caution
Out-migrants	755	490 to 1,020	use with caution
Net migration	−95	−425 to 235	not classified
Net migration rate, TLM (per 1,000 pop.)	−10.34	-	-
Migration effectiveness index (IEM)	−0.069	-	-

Sample of in-migrants: 100-499 observations. Sample of out-migrants: 100-499 observations. 95% confidence interval computed as estimate ± 1.96 × standard error.

Top origins and destinations

Top 10 origins of in-migrants to Serra Caiada/RN
Origin	People	Precision
Natal/RN · view pair in the atlas	255	use with caution
Parnamirim/RN · view pair in the atlas	75	low precision
Januário Cicco/RN · view pair in the atlas	35	low precision
São Paulo/SP · view pair in the atlas	30	low precision
Senador Elói de Souza/RN · view pair in the atlas	30	low precision
Tangará/RN · view pair in the atlas	25	low precision

Top 10 destinations of out-migrants from Serra Caiada/RN
Destination	People	Precision
Parnamirim/RN · view pair in the atlas	180	low precision
Natal/RN · view pair in the atlas	110	low precision
Januário Cicco/RN · view pair in the atlas	45	low precision
Tangará/RN · view pair in the atlas	35	low precision
Senador Elói de Souza/RN · view pair in the atlas	25	low precision

Profile of migrants and residents

In-migrants (arrivals)

Migrant type
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Multi-step migration	245	37.4%	20-49
First move from municipality of birth	245	37.4%	20-49
Return to municipality of birth	165	25.2%	20-49

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
No schooling or incomplete elementary	190	43.2%	20-49
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	130	29.5%	20-49
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	85	19.3%	5-19
Completed higher education	35	8.0%	5-19

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
¼ to ½ minimum wage	220	33.3%	20-49
½ to 1 minimum wage	210	31.8%	20-49
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	165	25.0%	20-49
1 to 2 minimum wages	35	5.3%	5-19
More than 2 minimum wages	30	4.5%	5-19

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 25–39, female	130	19.7%	20-49
Ages 25–39, male	95	14.4%	20-49
Ages 40–59, male	95	14.4%	5-19
Ages 40–59, female	75	11.4%	5-19
Ages 15–24, female	75	11.4%	5-19
Ages 5–14, female	65	9.8%	5-19
Other / suppressed	45	6.8%	5-19
Ages 15–24, male	40	6.1%	5-19
Ages 5–14, male	40	6.1%	5-19

Out-migrants (departures)

Migrant type
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Multi-step migration	340	45.0%	20-49
First move from municipality of birth	325	43.0%	20-49
Return to municipality of birth	90	11.9%	5-19

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
No schooling or incomplete elementary	215	47.3%	20-49
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	120	26.4%	5-19
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	85	18.7%	5-19
Other / suppressed	35	7.7%	<5

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
¼ to ½ minimum wage	290	38.4%	20-49
½ to 1 minimum wage	240	31.8%	20-49
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	110	14.6%	5-19
More than 2 minimum wages	60	7.9%	5-19
1 to 2 minimum wages	55	7.3%	5-19

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 25–39, female	140	18.5%	5-19
Ages 15–24, female	125	16.6%	5-19
Ages 25–39, male	100	13.2%	5-19
Ages 5–14, male	95	12.6%	5-19
Ages 60 and over, male	65	8.6%	5-19
Ages 40–59, female	65	8.6%	5-19
Ages 15–24, male	50	6.6%	5-19
Ages 40–59, male	45	6.0%	5-19
Ages 5–14, female	35	4.6%	5-19
Other / suppressed	35	4.6%	<5

Non-migrant residents

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
No schooling or incomplete elementary	3,355	60.3%	>=500
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	1,145	20.6%	100-499
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	695	12.5%	100-499
Completed higher education	370	6.6%	50-99

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	3,720	39.4%	>=500
¼ to ½ minimum wage	2,610	27.6%	100-499
½ to 1 minimum wage	2,155	22.8%	100-499
1 to 2 minimum wages	695	7.4%	100-499
More than 2 minimum wages	270	2.9%	20-49

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 40–59, female	1,070	12.2%	100-499
Ages 25–39, male	1,060	12.1%	100-499
Ages 40–59, male	1,030	11.8%	100-499
Ages 25–39, female	1,015	11.6%	100-499
Ages 15–24, male	885	10.1%	100-499
Ages 15–24, female	775	8.9%	100-499
Ages 5–14, male	750	8.6%	100-499
Ages 5–14, female	735	8.4%	100-499
Ages 60 and over, male	665	7.6%	100-499
Ages 60 and over, female	665	7.6%	100-499
Other / suppressed	85	1.0%	5-19

Commuting (work and study)

Commuting indicators for Serra Caiada/RN
Employed persons (aged 10 and over)	2,465
Commute out to work in another municipality	360
Commute in from another municipality to work here	200
Net commuting	−155
Out-commuting rate (%)	14.53
Commuting attraction index	0.917
Median commuting time	90 min

Open Serra Caiada/RN in the interactive atlas →

Methodological note

Estimates from the sample microdata of the 2022 Demographic Census (IBGE, controlled access), fixed-date migration question (residence on July 31, 2017 compared with residence on July 31, 2022). Every estimate is rounded to multiples of 5 and has passed statistical disclosure control (no cell with fewer than 5 people or 3 sampled households). See the full methodology and the glossary.

How to cite this page

Daniel Pessini Sobreira. Atlas da migração interna no Brasil [Atlas of internal migration in Brazil]: Serra Caiada/RN. Data from the 2022 Demographic Census (IBGE). Data version: 2026-10-01. Available at: https://atlas-da-migracao.github.io/en/municipio/serra-caiada-rn-2410306/. Dataset DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22469791.