Migration in Guararema/SP (2017–2022)

Guararema/SP had a reference population (aged 5 or over in 2022) of 29,475 people. In the 2017–2022 five-year period, the municipality received 3,290 in-migrants and lost 2,025 out-migrants to other municipalities in Brazil, resulting in a net migration of +1,265 people (42.85 per 1,000 population) and a migration effectiveness index (IEM) of 0.238. This classifies the municipality, for the period, as one of migratory attraction. In addition, 30 arrived with an unreported origin and 25 came from abroad.

Indicators

Migration indicators for Guararema/SP, 2017–2022
Indicator	Estimate	95% CI	Precision
In-migrants	3,290	2,707 to 3,873	good
Out-migrants	2,025	1,555 to 2,495	good
Net migration	+1,265	516 to 2,014	not classified
Net migration rate, TLM (per 1,000 pop.)	42.85	-	-
Migration effectiveness index (IEM)	0.238	-	-

Sample of in-migrants: 100-499 observations. Sample of out-migrants: 100-499 observations. 95% confidence interval computed as estimate ± 1.96 × standard error.

Top origins and destinations

Top 10 origins of in-migrants to Guararema/SP
Origin	People	Precision
São Paulo/SP · view pair in the atlas	900	use with caution
Mogi das Cruzes/SP · view pair in the atlas	390	use with caution
Guarulhos/SP · view pair in the atlas	270	low precision
Jacareí/SP · view pair in the atlas	205	use with caution
Itaquaquecetuba/SP · view pair in the atlas	95	low precision
São José dos Campos/SP · view pair in the atlas	80	low precision
Santa Isabel/SP · view pair in the atlas	65	low precision
São Caetano do Sul/SP · view pair in the atlas	60	low precision
Santo André/SP · view pair in the atlas	60	low precision
Diadema/SP · view pair in the atlas	60	low precision

Top 10 destinations of out-migrants from Guararema/SP
Destination	People	Precision
Mogi das Cruzes/SP · view pair in the atlas	400	use with caution
Jacareí/SP · view pair in the atlas	345	use with caution
Santa Isabel/SP · view pair in the atlas	180	low precision
São José dos Campos/SP · view pair in the atlas	175	low precision
Santa Branca/SP · view pair in the atlas	145	low precision

Profile of migrants and residents

In-migrants (arrivals)

Migrant type
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
First move from municipality of birth	1,515	46.1%	100-499
Multi-step migration	1,505	45.8%	100-499
Return to municipality of birth	220	6.7%	20-49
Other / suppressed	45	1.4%	<5

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	805	34.5%	50-99
Completed higher education	785	33.6%	50-99
No schooling or incomplete elementary	420	18.0%	20-49
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	325	13.9%	20-49

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
More than 2 minimum wages	1,020	31.0%	50-99
½ to 1 minimum wage	1,010	30.7%	50-99
1 to 2 minimum wages	825	25.1%	50-99
¼ to ½ minimum wage	345	10.5%	20-49
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	75	2.3%	5-19
Other / suppressed	15	0.5%	<5

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 25–39, female	480	14.6%	20-49
Ages 25–39, male	475	14.5%	20-49
Ages 40–59, male	435	13.2%	20-49
Ages 40–59, female	365	11.1%	20-49
Ages 60 and over, female	325	9.9%	20-49
Ages 15–24, male	325	9.9%	20-49
Ages 5–14, male	280	8.5%	20-49
Ages 60 and over, male	245	7.5%	20-49
Ages 15–24, female	185	5.6%	5-19
Ages 5–14, female	170	5.2%	5-19

Out-migrants (departures)

Migrant type
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Multi-step migration	1,020	50.4%	100-499
First move from municipality of birth	765	37.8%	50-99
Return to municipality of birth	220	10.9%	20-49
Other / suppressed	20	1.0%	<5

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	395	30.3%	20-49
No schooling or incomplete elementary	360	27.6%	20-49
Completed higher education	345	26.4%	20-49
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	205	15.7%	20-49

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
1 to 2 minimum wages	580	28.6%	50-99
½ to 1 minimum wage	575	28.4%	50-99
More than 2 minimum wages	360	17.8%	20-49
¼ to ½ minimum wage	320	15.8%	20-49
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	125	6.2%	5-19
Not applicable (collective dwelling)	65	3.2%	5-19

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 25–39, female	355	17.5%	20-49
Ages 25–39, male	300	14.8%	20-49
Ages 40–59, male	250	12.3%	20-49
Ages 5–14, female	200	9.9%	20-49
Ages 15–24, female	195	9.6%	5-19
Ages 40–59, female	175	8.6%	20-49
Ages 5–14, male	175	8.6%	20-49
Ages 15–24, male	150	7.4%	5-19
Ages 60 and over, female	150	7.4%	5-19
Ages 60 and over, male	75	3.7%	5-19

Non-migrant residents

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	6,810	36.7%	>=500
No schooling or incomplete elementary	6,045	32.5%	>=500
Completed higher education	3,225	17.4%	100-499
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	2,495	13.4%	100-499

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
½ to 1 minimum wage	9,965	35.7%	>=500
1 to 2 minimum wages	7,615	27.3%	>=500
¼ to ½ minimum wage	4,670	16.7%	100-499
More than 2 minimum wages	4,110	14.7%	100-499
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	1,495	5.4%	100-499
Other / suppressed	35	0.1%	<5

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 40–59, female	4,100	15.7%	100-499
Ages 40–59, male	3,715	14.2%	100-499
Ages 25–39, female	2,945	11.3%	100-499
Ages 25–39, male	2,800	10.7%	100-499
Ages 60 and over, female	2,690	10.3%	100-499
Ages 60 and over, male	2,325	8.9%	100-499
Ages 15–24, male	1,945	7.4%	100-499
Ages 5–14, male	1,925	7.4%	100-499
Ages 15–24, female	1,885	7.2%	100-499
Ages 5–14, female	1,800	6.9%	100-499

Commuting (work and study)

Commuting indicators for Guararema/SP
Employed persons (aged 10 and over)	15,115
Commute out to work in another municipality	2,020
Commute in from another municipality to work here	3,185
Net commuting	+1,165
Out-commuting rate (%)	13.35
Commuting attraction index	1.054
Median commuting time	60 min

This municipality is part of Região Metropolitana de São Paulo → see the metropolitan region page

Open Guararema/SP in the interactive atlas →

Methodological note

Estimates from the sample microdata of the 2022 Demographic Census (IBGE, controlled access), fixed-date migration question (residence on July 31, 2017 compared with residence on July 31, 2022). Every estimate is rounded to multiples of 5 and has passed statistical disclosure control (no cell with fewer than 5 people or 3 sampled households). See the full methodology and the glossary.

How to cite this page

Daniel Pessini Sobreira. Atlas da migração interna no Brasil [Atlas of internal migration in Brazil]: Guararema/SP. Data from the 2022 Demographic Census (IBGE). Data version: 2026-10-01. Available at: https://atlas-da-migracao.github.io/en/municipio/guararema-sp-3518305/. Dataset DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22469791.