Migration in Guaraci/SP (2017–2022)

Guaraci/SP had a reference population (aged 5 or over in 2022) of 9,810 people. In the 2017–2022 five-year period, the municipality received 980 in-migrants and lost 690 out-migrants to other municipalities in Brazil, resulting in a net migration of +290 people (29.62 per 1,000 population) and a migration effectiveness index (IEM) of 0.174. This classifies the municipality, for the period, as one of migratory attraction. In addition, 5 arrived with an unreported origin and 10 came from abroad.

Indicators

Migration indicators for Guaraci/SP, 2017–2022
Indicator	Estimate	95% CI	Precision
In-migrants	980	769 to 1,191	good
Out-migrants	690	458 to 922	use with caution
Net migration	+290	−24 to 604	not classified
Net migration rate, TLM (per 1,000 pop.)	29.62	-	-
Migration effectiveness index (IEM)	0.174	-	-

Sample of in-migrants: 100-499 observations. Sample of out-migrants: 50-99 observations. 95% confidence interval computed as estimate ± 1.96 × standard error.

Top origins and destinations

Top 10 origins of in-migrants to Guaraci/SP
Origin	People	Precision
São Paulo/SP · view pair in the atlas	95	low precision
Altair/SP · view pair in the atlas	90	low precision
Barretos/SP · view pair in the atlas	70	low precision
São José do Rio Preto/SP · view pair in the atlas	60	low precision
Olímpia/SP · view pair in the atlas	55	low precision
Riacho de Santana/BA · view pair in the atlas	35	low precision
Caturama/BA · view pair in the atlas	35	low precision

Top 10 destinations of out-migrants from Guaraci/SP
Destination	People	Precision
São José do Rio Preto/SP · view pair in the atlas	115	low precision
Olímpia/SP · view pair in the atlas	65	low precision
Barretos/SP · view pair in the atlas	55	low precision
Altair/SP · view pair in the atlas	15	low precision

Profile of migrants and residents

In-migrants (arrivals)

Migrant type
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
First move from municipality of birth	490	50.3%	50-99
Multi-step migration	360	36.9%	50-99
Return to municipality of birth	125	12.8%	20-49

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
No schooling or incomplete elementary	240	37.5%	20-49
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	165	25.8%	20-49
Completed higher education	120	18.8%	20-49
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	115	18.0%	20-49

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
1 to 2 minimum wages	320	32.7%	50-99
½ to 1 minimum wage	315	32.1%	50-99
More than 2 minimum wages	150	15.3%	20-49
¼ to ½ minimum wage	100	10.2%	20-49
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	95	9.7%	5-19

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 25–39, male	130	13.3%	20-49
Ages 25–39, female	115	11.7%	20-49
Ages 60 and over, male	105	10.7%	20-49
Ages 40–59, male	100	10.2%	20-49
Ages 15–24, female	100	10.2%	20-49
Ages 40–59, female	95	9.7%	5-19
Ages 60 and over, female	90	9.2%	5-19
Ages 5–14, female	90	9.2%	5-19
Ages 15–24, male	80	8.2%	5-19
Ages 5–14, male	75	7.7%	5-19

Out-migrants (departures)

Migrant type
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Multi-step migration	545	79.6%	50-99
First move from municipality of birth	70	10.2%	5-19
Return to municipality of birth	70	10.2%	5-19

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
No schooling or incomplete elementary	195	44.8%	20-49
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	165	37.9%	20-49
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	55	12.6%	5-19
Other / suppressed	20	4.6%	<5

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
1 to 2 minimum wages	235	34.1%	20-49
½ to 1 minimum wage	190	27.5%	20-49
More than 2 minimum wages	140	20.3%	5-19
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	75	10.9%	5-19
¼ to ½ minimum wage	50	7.2%	5-19

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 40–59, female	110	16.2%	5-19
Other / suppressed	105	15.4%	5-19
Ages 15–24, male	95	14.0%	5-19
Ages 15–24, female	90	13.2%	5-19
Ages 25–39, male	75	11.0%	5-19
Ages 60 and over, female	75	11.0%	5-19
Ages 40–59, male	70	10.3%	5-19
Ages 25–39, female	60	8.8%	5-19

Non-migrant residents

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
No schooling or incomplete elementary	2,325	36.0%	100-499
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	2,210	34.3%	100-499
Completed higher education	1,080	16.7%	100-499
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	835	12.9%	100-499

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
½ to 1 minimum wage	3,295	35.2%	>=500
1 to 2 minimum wages	2,630	28.1%	>=500
¼ to ½ minimum wage	1,710	18.3%	100-499
More than 2 minimum wages	1,180	12.6%	100-499
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	545	5.8%	100-499

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 40–59, male	1,320	15.0%	100-499
Ages 40–59, female	1,310	14.9%	100-499
Ages 25–39, female	1,015	11.5%	100-499
Ages 25–39, male	1,000	11.3%	100-499
Ages 60 and over, female	955	10.8%	100-499
Ages 60 and over, male	845	9.6%	100-499
Ages 15–24, male	650	7.4%	100-499
Ages 5–14, male	585	6.6%	100-499
Ages 5–14, female	575	6.5%	100-499
Ages 15–24, female	560	6.4%	100-499

Commuting (work and study)

Commuting indicators for Guaraci/SP
Employed persons (aged 10 and over)	4,980
Commute out to work in another municipality	485
Commute in from another municipality to work here	405
Net commuting	−80
Out-commuting rate (%)	9.77
Commuting attraction index	0.958
Median commuting time	50 min

Open Guaraci/SP in the interactive atlas →

Methodological note

Estimates from the sample microdata of the 2022 Demographic Census (IBGE, controlled access), fixed-date migration question (residence on July 31, 2017 compared with residence on July 31, 2022). Every estimate is rounded to multiples of 5 and has passed statistical disclosure control (no cell with fewer than 5 people or 3 sampled households). See the full methodology and the glossary.

How to cite this page

Daniel Pessini Sobreira. Atlas da migração interna no Brasil [Atlas of internal migration in Brazil]: Guaraci/SP. Data from the 2022 Demographic Census (IBGE). Data version: 2026-10-01. Available at: https://atlas-da-migracao.github.io/en/municipio/guaraci-sp-3517901/. Dataset DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22469791.