Migration in Forquilha/CE (2017–2022)

Forquilha/CE had a reference population (aged 5 or over in 2022) of 22,520 people. In the 2017–2022 five-year period, the municipality received 1,105 in-migrants and lost 820 out-migrants to other municipalities in Brazil, resulting in a net migration of +280 people (12.52 per 1,000 population) and a migration effectiveness index (IEM) of 0.147. This classifies the municipality, for the period, as one of migratory attraction.

Indicators

Migration indicators for Forquilha/CE, 2017–2022
Indicator	Estimate	95% CI	Precision
In-migrants	1,105	793 to 1,417	good
Out-migrants	820	525 to 1,115	use with caution
Net migration	+280	−150 to 710	not classified
Net migration rate, TLM (per 1,000 pop.)	12.52	-	-
Migration effectiveness index (IEM)	0.147	-	-

Sample of in-migrants: 100-499 observations. Sample of out-migrants: 50-99 observations. 95% confidence interval computed as estimate ± 1.96 × standard error.

Top origins and destinations

Top 10 origins of in-migrants to Forquilha/CE
Origin	People	Precision
Sobral/CE · view pair in the atlas	495	use with caution
Fortaleza/CE · view pair in the atlas	190	low precision

Top 10 destinations of out-migrants from Forquilha/CE
Destination	People	Precision
Sobral/CE · view pair in the atlas	265	low precision
Santa Quitéria/CE · view pair in the atlas	90	low precision

Profile of migrants and residents

In-migrants (arrivals)

Migrant type
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
First move from municipality of birth	625	56.6%	50-99
Return to municipality of birth	275	24.9%	20-49
Multi-step migration	205	18.6%	5-19

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
No schooling or incomplete elementary	245	36.0%	20-49
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	230	33.8%	20-49
Completed higher education	140	20.6%	5-19
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	65	9.6%	5-19

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
¼ to ½ minimum wage	335	30.3%	20-49
½ to 1 minimum wage	335	30.3%	20-49
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	215	19.5%	20-49
1 to 2 minimum wages	140	12.7%	5-19
More than 2 minimum wages	80	7.2%	5-19

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 25–39, female	195	17.7%	5-19
Ages 25–39, male	175	15.9%	5-19
Ages 5–14, female	125	11.4%	5-19
Ages 40–59, female	115	10.5%	5-19
Ages 40–59, male	115	10.5%	5-19
Ages 15–24, female	115	10.5%	5-19
Ages 15–24, male	90	8.2%	5-19
Ages 5–14, male	90	8.2%	5-19
Ages 60 and over, male	55	5.0%	5-19
Other / suppressed	25	2.3%	<5

Out-migrants (departures)

Migrant type
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
First move from municipality of birth	415	50.3%	20-49
Multi-step migration	250	30.3%	20-49
Return to municipality of birth	160	19.4%	5-19

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	250	45.9%	20-49
No schooling or incomplete elementary	205	37.6%	20-49
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	50	9.2%	5-19
Other / suppressed	40	7.3%	<5

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	285	34.5%	20-49
½ to 1 minimum wage	245	29.7%	20-49
¼ to ½ minimum wage	140	17.0%	5-19
1 to 2 minimum wages	125	15.2%	5-19
Other / suppressed	30	3.6%	<5

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 25–39, female	240	29.3%	20-49
Ages 25–39, male	135	16.5%	5-19
Ages 15–24, male	95	11.6%	5-19
Ages 5–14, female	75	9.1%	5-19
Ages 5–14, male	70	8.5%	5-19
Ages 40–59, female	60	7.3%	5-19
Ages 40–59, male	55	6.7%	5-19
Other / suppressed	50	6.1%	5-19
Ages 15–24, female	40	4.9%	5-19

Non-migrant residents

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
No schooling or incomplete elementary	7,695	53.2%	>=500
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	3,250	22.5%	100-499
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	2,585	17.9%	100-499
Completed higher education	930	6.4%	50-99

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
¼ to ½ minimum wage	7,765	33.7%	>=500
½ to 1 minimum wage	6,825	29.6%	>=500
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	5,720	24.8%	>=500
1 to 2 minimum wages	2,350	10.2%	100-499
More than 2 minimum wages	410	1.8%	20-49

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 40–59, female	2,830	13.2%	100-499
Ages 25–39, female	2,800	13.1%	100-499
Ages 25–39, male	2,770	12.9%	100-499
Ages 40–59, male	2,750	12.8%	100-499
Ages 15–24, male	1,940	9.1%	100-499
Ages 15–24, female	1,840	8.6%	100-499
Ages 60 and over, female	1,795	8.4%	100-499
Ages 5–14, male	1,600	7.5%	100-499
Ages 5–14, female	1,585	7.4%	100-499
Ages 60 and over, male	1,510	7.0%	100-499

Commuting (work and study)

Commuting indicators for Forquilha/CE
Employed persons (aged 10 and over)	8,170
Commute out to work in another municipality	1,445
Commute in from another municipality to work here	405
Net commuting	−1,040
Out-commuting rate (%)	17.72
Commuting attraction index	0.846
Median commuting time	30 min

This municipality is part of Região Metropolitana de Sobral → see the metropolitan region page

Open Forquilha/CE in the interactive atlas →

Methodological note

Estimates from the sample microdata of the 2022 Demographic Census (IBGE, controlled access), fixed-date migration question (residence on July 31, 2017 compared with residence on July 31, 2022). Every estimate is rounded to multiples of 5 and has passed statistical disclosure control (no cell with fewer than 5 people or 3 sampled households). See the full methodology and the glossary.

How to cite this page

Daniel Pessini Sobreira. Atlas da migração interna no Brasil [Atlas of internal migration in Brazil]: Forquilha/CE. Data from the 2022 Demographic Census (IBGE). Data version: 2026-10-01. Available at: https://atlas-da-migracao.github.io/en/municipio/forquilha-ce-2304350/. Dataset DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22469791.