Migration in Carnaubais/RN (2017–2022)

Carnaubais/RN had a reference population (aged 5 or over in 2022) of 9,135 people. In the 2017–2022 five-year period, the municipality received 405 in-migrants and lost 450 out-migrants to other municipalities in Brazil, resulting in a net migration of −45 people (−4.98 per 1,000 population) and a migration effectiveness index (IEM) of −0.053. This classifies the municipality, for the period, as one of migratory depletion. In addition, 5 arrived with an unreported origin and 0 came from abroad.

Indicators

Migration indicators for Carnaubais/RN, 2017–2022
Indicator	Estimate	95% CI	Precision
In-migrants	405	266 to 544	use with caution
Out-migrants	450	295 to 605	use with caution
Net migration	−45	−253 to 163	not classified
Net migration rate, TLM (per 1,000 pop.)	−4.98	-	-
Migration effectiveness index (IEM)	−0.053	-	-

Sample of in-migrants: 50-99 observations. Sample of out-migrants: 50-99 observations. 95% confidence interval computed as estimate ± 1.96 × standard error.

Top origins and destinations

Top 10 origins of in-migrants to Carnaubais/RN
Origin	People	Precision
Natal/RN · view pair in the atlas	65	low precision
Açu/RN · view pair in the atlas	50	low precision
Mossoró/RN · view pair in the atlas	35	low precision

Top 10 destinations of out-migrants from Carnaubais/RN
Destination	People	Precision
Serra do Mel/RN · view pair in the atlas	65	low precision
Alto do Rodrigues/RN · view pair in the atlas	45	low precision
Porto do Mangue/RN · view pair in the atlas	20	low precision

Profile of migrants and residents

In-migrants (arrivals)

Migrant type
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
First move from municipality of birth	185	45.7%	20-49
Multi-step migration	150	37.0%	20-49
Return to municipality of birth	70	17.3%	5-19

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
No schooling or incomplete elementary	155	64.6%	20-49
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	40	16.7%	5-19
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	30	12.5%	5-19
Other / suppressed	15	6.2%	<5

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
½ to 1 minimum wage	180	45.0%	20-49
¼ to ½ minimum wage	130	32.5%	20-49
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	60	15.0%	5-19
Other / suppressed	30	7.5%	5-19

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 15–24, male	70	17.1%	5-19
Ages 25–39, male	65	15.9%	5-19
Ages 40–59, female	60	14.6%	5-19
Ages 40–59, male	60	14.6%	5-19
Ages 15–24, female	45	11.0%	5-19
Ages 25–39, female	40	9.8%	5-19
Ages 5–14, female	30	7.3%	5-19
Ages 5–14, male	25	6.1%	5-19
Other / suppressed	15	3.7%	<5

Out-migrants (departures)

Migrant type
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Multi-step migration	215	47.8%	20-49
First move from municipality of birth	185	41.1%	20-49
Return to municipality of birth	50	11.1%	5-19

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
No schooling or incomplete elementary	195	63.9%	20-49
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	75	24.6%	5-19
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	30	9.8%	5-19
Other / suppressed	5	1.6%	<5

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
½ to 1 minimum wage	220	48.9%	20-49
¼ to ½ minimum wage	95	21.1%	5-19
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	80	17.8%	5-19
1 to 2 minimum wages	35	7.8%	5-19
Other / suppressed	20	4.4%	<5

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 40–59, male	75	16.7%	5-19
Ages 15–24, female	70	15.6%	5-19
Ages 25–39, male	60	13.3%	5-19
Ages 25–39, female	60	13.3%	5-19
Ages 60 and over, female	40	8.9%	5-19
Ages 40–59, female	40	8.9%	5-19
Other / suppressed	35	7.8%	5-19
Ages 5–14, male	35	7.8%	5-19
Ages 60 and over, male	35	7.8%	5-19

Non-migrant residents

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
No schooling or incomplete elementary	3,330	55.7%	>=500
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	1,530	25.6%	100-499
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	725	12.1%	100-499
Completed higher education	395	6.6%	50-99

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
½ to 1 minimum wage	3,360	36.1%	>=500
¼ to ½ minimum wage	2,895	31.1%	>=500
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	1,995	21.4%	100-499
1 to 2 minimum wages	710	7.6%	100-499
More than 2 minimum wages	340	3.7%	50-99
Other / suppressed	5	0.1%	<5

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 40–59, male	1,255	14.4%	100-499
Ages 40–59, female	1,215	13.9%	100-499
Ages 25–39, female	1,090	12.5%	100-499
Ages 25–39, male	1,035	11.9%	100-499
Ages 15–24, male	705	8.1%	100-499
Ages 60 and over, female	705	8.1%	100-499
Ages 5–14, female	685	7.9%	100-499
Ages 15–24, female	680	7.8%	100-499
Ages 60 and over, male	665	7.6%	100-499
Ages 5–14, male	645	7.4%	100-499
Other / suppressed	40	0.5%	5-19

Commuting (work and study)

Commuting indicators for Carnaubais/RN
Employed persons (aged 10 and over)	3,090
Commute out to work in another municipality	765
Commute in from another municipality to work here	140
Net commuting	−625
Out-commuting rate (%)	24.83
Commuting attraction index	0.782
Median commuting time	40 min

Open Carnaubais/RN in the interactive atlas →

Methodological note

Estimates from the sample microdata of the 2022 Demographic Census (IBGE, controlled access), fixed-date migration question (residence on July 31, 2017 compared with residence on July 31, 2022). Every estimate is rounded to multiples of 5 and has passed statistical disclosure control (no cell with fewer than 5 people or 3 sampled households). See the full methodology and the glossary.

How to cite this page

Daniel Pessini Sobreira. Atlas da migração interna no Brasil [Atlas of internal migration in Brazil]: Carnaubais/RN. Data from the 2022 Demographic Census (IBGE). Data version: 2026-10-01. Available at: https://atlas-da-migracao.github.io/en/municipio/carnaubais-rn-2402501/. Dataset DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22469791.