Migration in Caicó/RN (2017–2022)

Caicó/RN had a reference population (aged 5 or over in 2022) of 57,890 people. In the 2017–2022 five-year period, the municipality received 2,775 in-migrants and lost 3,525 out-migrants to other municipalities in Brazil, resulting in a net migration of −750 people (−12.94 per 1,000 population) and a migration effectiveness index (IEM) of −0.119. This classifies the municipality, for the period, as one of migratory depletion. In addition, 15 arrived with an unreported origin and 15 came from abroad.

Indicators

Migration indicators for Caicó/RN, 2017–2022
Indicator	Estimate	95% CI	Precision
In-migrants	2,775	2,274 to 3,276	good
Out-migrants	3,525	3,010 to 4,040	good
Net migration	−750	−1,469 to −31	not classified
Net migration rate, TLM (per 1,000 pop.)	−12.94	-	-
Migration effectiveness index (IEM)	−0.119	-	-

Sample of in-migrants: 100-499 observations. Sample of out-migrants: >=500 observations. 95% confidence interval computed as estimate ± 1.96 × standard error.

Top origins and destinations

Top 10 origins of in-migrants to Caicó/RN
Origin	People	Precision
Natal/RN · view pair in the atlas	680	use with caution
Mossoró/RN · view pair in the atlas	160	low precision
Jucurutu/RN · view pair in the atlas	155	low precision
Jardim de Piranhas/RN · view pair in the atlas	105	low precision
Currais Novos/RN · view pair in the atlas	85	low precision
Santana do Matos/RN · view pair in the atlas	80	low precision
Cruzeta/RN · view pair in the atlas	60	low precision
São Fernando/RN · view pair in the atlas	60	low precision
São José do Seridó/RN · view pair in the atlas	55	low precision
Jardim do Seridó/RN · view pair in the atlas	50	low precision

Top 10 destinations of out-migrants from Caicó/RN
Destination	People	Precision
Natal/RN · view pair in the atlas	490	use with caution
Parnamirim/RN · view pair in the atlas	285	use with caution
São Gonçalo do Amarante/RN · view pair in the atlas	170	low precision
João Pessoa/PB · view pair in the atlas	135	low precision
Jardim de Piranhas/RN · view pair in the atlas	135	use with caution
São José do Seridó/RN · view pair in the atlas	125	use with caution
São Fernando/RN · view pair in the atlas	120	use with caution
Jucurutu/RN · view pair in the atlas	120	use with caution
São João do Sabugi/RN · view pair in the atlas	95	use with caution
São Bento/PB · view pair in the atlas	90	low precision

Profile of migrants and residents

In-migrants (arrivals)

Migrant type
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
First move from municipality of birth	975	35.2%	50-99
Multi-step migration	900	32.5%	50-99
Return to municipality of birth	895	32.3%	50-99

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Completed higher education	675	35.4%	50-99
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	565	29.7%	50-99
No schooling or incomplete elementary	490	25.7%	20-49
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	175	9.2%	5-19

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
½ to 1 minimum wage	910	32.9%	50-99
1 to 2 minimum wages	700	25.3%	50-99
More than 2 minimum wages	515	18.6%	20-49
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	335	12.1%	20-49
¼ to ½ minimum wage	230	8.3%	20-49
Not applicable (collective dwelling)	80	2.9%	5-19

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 25–39, female	585	21.0%	50-99
Ages 25–39, male	480	17.3%	20-49
Ages 40–59, male	300	10.8%	20-49
Ages 15–24, male	280	10.1%	20-49
Ages 40–59, female	275	9.9%	20-49
Ages 15–24, female	250	9.0%	20-49
Ages 5–14, male	195	7.0%	5-19
Ages 60 and over, female	180	6.5%	20-49
Ages 5–14, female	145	5.2%	5-19
Ages 60 and over, male	90	3.2%	5-19

Out-migrants (departures)

Migrant type
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
First move from municipality of birth	2,215	62.8%	100-499
Multi-step migration	810	23.0%	100-499
Return to municipality of birth	500	14.2%	100-499

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	780	35.8%	100-499
Completed higher education	590	27.1%	50-99
No schooling or incomplete elementary	540	24.8%	100-499
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	270	12.4%	20-49

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
½ to 1 minimum wage	935	26.6%	100-499
More than 2 minimum wages	840	23.9%	50-99
¼ to ½ minimum wage	725	20.6%	100-499
1 to 2 minimum wages	640	18.2%	50-99
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	380	10.8%	50-99
Other / suppressed	0	0.0%	<5

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 25–39, female	715	20.3%	100-499
Ages 25–39, male	515	14.6%	50-99
Ages 15–24, male	450	12.7%	50-99
Ages 15–24, female	440	12.5%	50-99
Ages 40–59, female	395	11.2%	50-99
Ages 40–59, male	335	9.5%	50-99
Ages 5–14, male	275	7.8%	50-99
Ages 5–14, female	165	4.7%	20-49
Ages 60 and over, female	150	4.2%	20-49
Ages 60 and over, male	70	2.0%	5-19
Other / suppressed	20	0.6%	<5

Non-migrant residents

Educational attainment (people aged 25 and over)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
No schooling or incomplete elementary	16,225	40.3%	>=500
Completed high school, incomplete higher education	11,875	29.5%	>=500
Completed higher education	7,170	17.8%	>=500
Completed elementary, incomplete high school	4,965	12.3%	100-499

Household income per capita (in 2022 minimum wages)
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
½ to 1 minimum wage	19,805	33.9%	>=500
¼ to ½ minimum wage	13,225	22.7%	>=500
1 to 2 minimum wages	11,845	20.3%	>=500
More than 2 minimum wages	7,280	12.5%	>=500
Up to ¼ of a minimum wage	5,770	9.9%	>=500
Not applicable (collective dwelling)	415	0.7%	20-49

Age and sex
Category	Estimate	Share	Sample
Ages 40–59, female	8,980	16.3%	>=500
Ages 40–59, male	7,765	14.1%	>=500
Ages 25–39, female	6,790	12.3%	>=500
Ages 25–39, male	6,440	11.7%	>=500
Ages 60 and over, female	5,870	10.7%	>=500
Ages 60 and over, male	4,385	8.0%	100-499
Ages 15–24, male	4,030	7.3%	100-499
Ages 15–24, female	4,010	7.3%	100-499
Ages 5–14, male	3,475	6.3%	100-499
Ages 5–14, female	3,340	6.1%	100-499

Commuting (work and study)

Commuting indicators for Caicó/RN
Employed persons (aged 10 and over)	28,030
Commute out to work in another municipality	1,445
Commute in from another municipality to work here	2,005
Net commuting	+560
Out-commuting rate (%)	5.15
Commuting attraction index	1.009
Median commuting time	42 min

Open Caicó/RN in the interactive atlas →

Methodological note

Estimates from the sample microdata of the 2022 Demographic Census (IBGE, controlled access), fixed-date migration question (residence on July 31, 2017 compared with residence on July 31, 2022). Every estimate is rounded to multiples of 5 and has passed statistical disclosure control (no cell with fewer than 5 people or 3 sampled households). See the full methodology and the glossary.

How to cite this page

Daniel Pessini Sobreira. Atlas da migração interna no Brasil [Atlas of internal migration in Brazil]: Caicó/RN. Data from the 2022 Demographic Census (IBGE). Data version: 2026-10-01. Available at: https://atlas-da-migracao.github.io/en/municipio/caico-rn-2402006/. Dataset DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22469791.